The Athletics (20-19) host the New York Yankees (22-16) on Saturday, May 10, 2025. First pitch from Sutter Health Park is scheduled for 4:05 p.m. ET; the game will be broadcast on MLB Network.
Find my Yankees vs Athletics prediction below, plus Saturday probable pitchers, betting trends and the latest MLB lines.
Yankees vs Athletics Prediction, Pick
- Yankees vs Athletics pick: Under 10 (-102 | Play to -120)
My Yankees vs Athletics best bet for Saturday is Under 10. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Yankees vs Athletics Odds
| Yankees Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +105 | 10 -118o / -102u | -150 |
| Athletics Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -125 | 10 -118o / -102u | +125 |
Yankees vs Athletics Projected Starting Pitchers
| LHP Carlos Rodon (NYY) | Stat | LHP JP Sears (ATH) |
|---|---|---|
| 4-3 | W-L | 4-2 |
| 0.9 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.9 |
| 2.96 / 2.83 | ERA /xERA | 2.93 / 3.23 |
| 3.60 / 3.36 | FIP / xFIP | 3.41 / 4.04 |
| 0.92 | WHIP | 1.00 |
| 19.7% | K-BB% | 16.1% |
| 46.8% | GB% | 40.5% |
| 105 | Stuff+ | 98 |
| 95 | Location+ | 109 |
Yankees vs Athletics Preview, Prediction
Yankees Betting Preview: Don't Let Rodón Get Hot
Left-hander Carlos Rodón takes the mound for the Yankees, and he should serve as a strong candidate to back. Rodón has undergone a resurgence over the past two years, beginning with his 16-9 season in 2024.
He finished that campaign with a 3.96 ERA and 1.22 WHIP, building on that success in 2025.
Through eight starts, Rodón is 4-3 with a 2.96 ERA and 0.92 WHIP. His underlying metrics are even stronger, as he boasts a 2.83 expected ERA (xERA) and a .194 expected batting average (xBA).
Rodón also ranks in the top third of the league in strikeout rate, barrel rate, and hard-hit rate.
Following the left-hander is one of the league’s best bullpens. Entering this matchup, the Yankees’ relief staff ranks seventh in ERA, third in fielding independent pitching (FIP), and sixth in wins above replacement (WAR).
Athletics Betting Preview: Zero Run Support
The Athletics’ bullpen has also been impressive. This season, their relief staff ranks 10th in FIP and eighth in WAR.
However, the A’s bullpen may not be called upon until late in the game, as they give the start to left-hander JP Sears. Through seven starts, Sears is 4-2 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.
Like Rodón, Sears’ analytics are strong. He ranks in the top third of the league in xERA, xBA, and walk rate.
That said, this pitching staff may not get the strongest run support, especially against Rodón. The Athletics rank in the league's bottom half in runs scored per game.
Yankees vs Athletics Prediction, Betting Analysis
The only reason this total is as high as 10 is that the Yankees boast one of the best lineups in baseball. However, that does not offset the other variables.
Both Rodón and Sears have been excellent, and both bullpens have demonstrated reliability. Furthermore, this current Athletics roster owns a .333 slugging percentage and a .277 weighted on-base average (wOBA) through 52 combined plate appearances against Rodón.
Pick: Under 10 (-102 | Play to -120)
Moneyline
I lean toward New York, but don't want to fade Sears.
Run Line (Spread)
I also like New York to cover, but I am staying away for the same reason listed above.
Over/Under
As mentioned, I'm betting Under 10.
Yankees vs Athletics Betting Trends
