Giants vs. Rockies Odds & Pick: The Value Is On San Francisco

Giants vs. Rockies Odds

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The San Francisco Giants took two out of three over the weekend against the Texas Rangers to continue their surprising start to the season.

Their 5-5 record may look modest, but considering that PointsBet set their win total for the 60-game season at 25.5 games it's been a strong start for San Fran.

Even more encouraging is that the Giants have fared pretty well, relatively speaking, against the Padres and Dodgers, two of the better teams in the NL West.

The Rockies and Giants have faced two common opponents in the season thus far. Like the Giants, Colorado won their series against the Rangers but the Rox were also able to win their series against the Padres, while the Giants could only muster one win in their set with San Diego.

With that said, I wouldn’t dismiss the Giants just yet when they take on Colorado in Coors Field on Monday night. The Giants will have their ace on the mound against a Colorado pitcher making his first start of the season.

Cueto at Coors

Johnny Cueto is still working himself back into form after returning from Tommy John surgery and will be making just his seventh start since July 2018 on Monday night.

The 34-year-old has not been able to make it into the fifth inning thus far this season and the Giants are 1-1 when Cueto toes the rubber. In 16 career starts against the Rockies, Cueto is 9-3 with a 2.67 ERA and 5-2 with a 3.26 ERA when pitching at Coors Field.

Don't Fear Chi Chi

Rockies righthander, Chi Chi Gonzalez, is set to make his first start of the season Monday night. In 12 starts last season, Gonzalez was 2-6 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.

Against the Giants, Gonzalez is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA.

Betting Analysis

Catching the Giants as an underdog in this pitching matchup has certainly caught my eye. There’s no question Cueto has yet to fire on all cylinders this season but I would bank on the two-time all-star being able to figure things out.

Despite a tough schedule to start the year, San Fran's offense has proved more than capable in the early going, ranking fifth in the National League in runs scored, two spots ahead of the Rockies and their 43 runs scored.

My guess is we’ll get a better approximation of the kind of pitcher Cueto can be post-injury later in the season. But for now, I’d take the guy who’s racked up 23 units for his backers since 2015 over the pedestrian Gonzalez, who has cost his backers 5.5 units and his teams are 9-16 in his starts.

I think this line is a little inflated towards Colorado, especially with Gonzalez making his first start of the season. Perhaps bettors haven't adjusted to San Francisco's strong start.

Either way, the market appears to agree as the Giants are currently getting the bulk of the money despite having less than half of the tickets written in their favor. Sharp bettors appear to be on the Giants and I'm right there with them.

I think San Francisco has value down to +115 in Coors.

The Pick: Giants Moneyline (down to +115)

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