Zerillo’s MLB Daily Betting Model, 8/4: Will D-Backs’ Offense Stay Hot vs. Nats?
Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Patrick Corbin
- Sean Zerillo's MLB model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game and first five (F5) innings.
- He analyzes Sunday's slate of games, including how to bet Reds-Braves (1:20 p.m. ET) and Red Sox-Yankees on Sunday Night Baseball (7:05 p.m. ET).
- Plug in your odds to the spreadsheet at the bottom of this article to see where you might have an edge.
The NL-East leading Braves (66-46) outlasted the Reds (51-48) in 10 innings on Saturday, winning 5-4 on a walk-off single by Ronald Acuna Jr.
Atlanta edged ahead 4-3 in the eighth inning without putting a ball into play, as Amir Garrett and Michael Lorenzen combined to walk four batters before Cincinnati re-tied the game in the ninth inning off of new Braves closer Shane Greene.
The Reds ran out of position players in the game, forcing Raisel Iglesias to take an at-bat in the 10th inning before being lifted for a new pitcher. Now 6.5 games back of the wild card (despite a +28 run differential), the Reds are going to need to roll off a winning streak to stay relevant in the playoff race.