Moore: First Impressions on 2019-20 NBA Season Win Totals
Photo credit: Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Joel Embiid
- We still have a ways to go before the 2019-20 NBA season, but several U.S. sportsbooks have already posted regular season win totals.
- Now that the dust has settled on this summer's free agency moves, Matt Moore (@HPBasketball) takes a look at the win totals and gives his first impression on each.
I’m not ready to dive into win totals fully yet. I’m still trying to figure out where everyone plays now, to be honest. Wasn’t Moe Harkless with the Heat? No? He’s a Clipper now? Where’s Darren Collison? He retired? Taj Gibson is a what now?
But the expansion of legalized gambling in the United States means that win totals are available at legal books much sooner.
Here are some early thoughts and first impressions as I try to wrap my head around what’s going to be the prevailing outlook for the year. Last season, we saw a steep decrease in tanking teams, which brought the top levels down (only one 60-win team) and the bottom up, slightly. (We still had more 10-19-win teams [three] than we did the year before.)
Will load management make the range even closer? Will the star team-ups create juggernauts we can’t see yet? Here’s a look at my first impressions for the over/under win totals.
Atlanta Hawks (32.5 low, 33.5 high)
Seems: Just right
Love this Hawks team; wish I was getting them in the 20s. I’m probably going to talk myself into the under by the time my full analysis comes out. I have them at 32 on the dot on my first run.
Young-Hunter-Collins-Huerter-Reddish-Turner-Parker-Len-Bembry is exciting and fun. But they’re not going to win many games. They lack rim protection and perimeter defense as Hunter adapts. Fun team in a weak division, but they will get smashed by any team that’s regular-season competent. Lean towards the under, but I don’t think it’ll be by much.