Warriors-Thunder Betting Guide: Can Golden State Pull off Another Road Win Without Durant?

Warriors-Thunder Betting Guide: Can Golden State Pull off Another Road Win Without Durant? article feature image
Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Russell Westbrook (0), Stephen Curry (30).

Betting Odds: Golden State Warriors-Oklahoma City Thunder

  • Spread: Thunder -1.5
  • Over/Under: 230
  • Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC

The Warriors eked a two-point win in Houston on Wednesday night without Kevin Durant (ankle), who is again out for Saturday night’s matchup in Oklahoma City.

Can Steph Curry and Co. pull off another road win without KD? Our experts discuss.

Betting Trends to Know

This is the 11th time the Warriors and Thunder have met since Kevin Durant left OKC. Golden State is 7-3 straight up and 6-4 against the spread in the previous 10, including 3-1 SU and ATS in Oklahoma. — John Ewing

The Warriors have a tendency to play to their competition. Under Steve Kerr, they’re 62-41-1 (60.2%) ATS in the regular season when facing an opponent that has won 60% or more of their games compared to 130-151-5 (46.3%) ATS in all other games. — Ewing

Since the beginning of last season, the Warriors are 61-87-1 (41.2%) ATS in the regular season, making them the league’s least profitable team ATS over that span. When the Warriors win their previous game, that cover percentage drops from 41.2% to 40.2% (41-61-1 ATS). — Evan Abrams

The Warriors have always struggled to cover because they’re almost always listed as a large favorite. When they play over on Saturdays or Sundays, they struggle even more to cover, potentially due to higher lines and more public action.

Since 2015, the Warriors are 32-55 (36.8%) ATS when playing on either a Saturday or Sunday in the regular season, but 15-6 ATS in the playoffs.

Of those 87 games played on the weekend, the Warriors are an astounding 16-35 (31.4%) against the spread on the road, losing bettors 19.7 units, the worst mark in the league. The closest team to Golden State is the Grizzlies, who are 17-26-2 ATS, losing bettors just 9.5 units. — Abrams

Mears: How I’m Betting Tonight’s Game

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