Raybon’s Favorite NBA Player Props for Tuesday: Nikola Vucevic Over/Under 3.5 Assists?
Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Orlando Magic center Nikola Vucevic (9)
- Chris Raybon breaks down his favorite NBA player props for Tuesday.
- Raybon is targeting assist props for a couple of passing bigs: Magic C Nikola Vucevic and Nuggets PF Paul Millsap.
Tuesday’s top NBA player props come from the following two games:
- Orlando Magic at New York Knicks: 7:30 p.m. ET on FS-FL
- Oklahoma City Thunder at Denver Nuggets: 10:30 p.m. ET on TNT
As a reminder, our FantasyLabs NBA Player Props Tool leverages our projections against odds offered at various sportsbooks and grades each prop on a scale of 1 to 10.
Magic C Nikola Vucevic
The Pick: Over 3.5 Assists (-160)
Vucevic has enjoyed a career year across the board, and passing the rock is no exception. His average of 3.9 assists per game is 0.5 above his previous career high. He’s also averaging 4.2 per game since Jan. 1.
The 7-foot, 260-pound center should be able to feast on the Knicks, who will be without DeAndre Jordan. And when the double teams come, Vucevic’s teammates should have no problem finishing against New York’s bottom-five defense.
Vucci Mane has dished at least four assists in 14 of his past 20 games (70%), so I’d be comfortable betting this up to -200 (66.7% implied probability).
Nuggets PF Paul Millsap
The Pick: Over 1.5 Assists (-175)
Millsap has handed out two or more assists in 18 of his past 25 games (72%), many of them with minutes in the low 20s. In games in which he’s played at least 27 minutes, he’s notched two-plus assists in 17 (77%). That’s good news for the over on this prop, as our NBA Player Models project Millsap for 31.5 minutes in Tuesday night’s huge face-off with the Thunder.
On top of that, Millsap’s assist numbers spike in the Mile High City. The 13-year vet is averaging 1 assist per 12.7 minutes at home, meaning he should need roughly 25 minutes to pick up a pair.
In his lone game against Oklahoma City this season, Millsap doled out three assists in 28 minutes. Given his track record of late, there should be value on the over up to -230 (70% implied probability).