CBB Sharp Report: Pros Betting Texas Tech-West Virginia, 2 Other Wednesday Games
Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: West Virginia Mountaineers forward Emmitt Matthews Jr.
- Wiseguys are betting three college basketball games on Wednesday night, headlined by Texas Tech-West Virginia (7 p.m. ET on ESPNU).
- Sharps are also getting down on Harvard-North Carolina (7 p.m. ET on ESPN2) and Texas-Kansas State (9 p.m. ET on ESPNU).
- Using the tools available at The Action Network, we analyze how the pros are betting each game.
With New Year’s Day having come and gone, we sadly won’t have another bowl game to sweat until the National Championship on Monday. In the meantime, wiseguys will be setting their sights on pro and college hoops.
After examining today’s 27-game college basketball slate using the betting tools available at Sports Insights and The Action Network, I’ve identified three games that pros are betting on Wednesday night, with two starting at 7 p.m., and one at 9 p.m. ET.
>> All odds as of 3 p.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time college basketball odds and track your bets
Betting Terms to Know
Steam Move: Sudden, drastic and uniform line movement across the market caused by an overload of sharp action from respected players.
Reverse Line Movement: When the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages. It’s a top smart money indicator.
Line Freeze: When one side is getting heavy betting, but the line won’t budge, indicating sharp liability on the other side.
Juice: The tax or commission that bettors must pay sportsbooks in order for them to accept your wager. A -115 juice means a bettor would have to wager $115 to win $100.
Harvard @ North Carolina
7 p.m. ET | ESPN2
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 158.5 to 152.5)
Recreational bettors almost always gravitate toward overs. When they load up on an under, it normally sets up a “contrarian over” opportunity for the pros.
However, sharps seem to be in agreement with the public on this one.
Wiseguys got down hard on the under at 158.5, 157.5, and even 152, triggering four separate steam and reverse line moves. The fact that Goodfellas kept hitting the under despite the plummeting total indicates supreme wiseguy confidence in a low-scoring game.
We haven’t seen any over buyback despite the line falling six full points.
Texas Tech @ West Virginia
7 p.m. ET | ESPNU
Sharp angle: West Virginia (moved from +5 to +4.5)
Take me home, country roads!
We’re seeing a classic Pros vs. Joes matchup in one of the most heavily bet games of the night. Texas Tech is ranked 11th overall and the public has no worries laying a short spread on the road against unranked West Virginia. But sharps are once again zigging while casual bettors zag.
This line opened at Texas Tech -3, and sharps allowed heavy public betting (77%) to push Tech up to -5. That’s when wiseguys pounced on the Mountaineers at an inflated price.
Pros hammered WVU +5 and WVU +4.5, causing the line to drop back down to +4 before evening back out at +4.5. We haven’t seen a single conflicting play on the Red Raiders.
Bob Huggins’ boys are getting only 23% of bets, but have generated 38% of dollars, and fit the profitable Bet Labs PRO system, Fade the Public in Big Conferences (57.3% ATS, 11.5% ROI since 2005).
Texas @ Kansas State
9 p.m. ET | ESPNU
Sharp angle: Over (moved from 123.5 to 129)
Recreational bettors are somewhat split on this over/under, but Goodfellas have taken a clear side.
This total opened at an incredibly low 123.5. Normally, average Joes will hammer an over just because the total is so low, expecting that “it has to go over.”
However, only 53% of bets are taking the over. Why? Because the media hammers home the fact that these are two elite defenses that don’t give up a ton of points (Texas allows 66 PPG while K-State allows only 57.83 PPG).
But sharps aren’t afraid of what the talking heads are saying. They see over value too good to pass up.
Currently, 67% of dollars are on the over, indicating massive smart money.
Sharps also hammered the over at 123.5, 125.5 and 127.5, triggering three separate steam and reverse line moves. This tidal wave of professional money pushed the total all the way up to 129.