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College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Week 6 Predictions With Projected Spreads

College Football Bowl Projections: Brett McMurphy’s Week 6 Predictions With Projected Spreads article feature image
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Scott Taetsch/Getty Images. Pictured: Penn State’s Kevin Winston.

Week 6 College Football Bowl Projections

In my August preseason bowl projections, I joked it’s become tricky because not only do I have to project which teams will play in a bowl, but which bowls actually will be played.

Because of cancellations due to COVID-19 and the San Francisco Bowl folding last year, forcing ESPN to literally create a bowl game out of thin air, the bowl lineup has been — let’s just say — fluid in recent years.

Now, there’s even more uncertainty about a bowl. Unfortunately, this isn’t a joke but rather a power play by a joke of an NFL franchise — the Las Vegas Raiders.

The Las Vegas Bowl, between the SEC and Pac-12, is scheduled for Dec. 17 at 7:30 p.m. ET at Allegiant Stadium (televised on ABC). The Raiders approved that date and kickoff time after their schedule was released since the stadium also hosts UNLV home games and the Las Vegas Bowl.

On Dec. 18 at 8:20 p.m. ET, the Raiders are scheduled to play the New England Patriots on NBC’s “Sunday Night Football,” which provides nearly 24 hours to transition the stadium from the bowl game, played on artificial turf, to the NFL’s natural grass turf used for Raiders’ games. The problem is because of the Raiders’ 1-3 start, there’s a chance the NFL could “flex” the game off of “Sunday Night Football” and move the kickoff up to a 4:30 p.m. ET start.

Mark Anderson of the Las Vegas Review-Journal broke the news last week about this potential conflict between the Raiders and the bowl. Las Vegas Bowl executive director John Saccenti did not respond to Action Network seeking comment.

The Raiders are asking the bowl to move their kickoff earlier in the day or to another date to provide the grounds crew more time to flip the stadium from a college to NFL venue. Neither option is realistic for the bowl for a number of logistical and contractual reasons.

The Raiders, which received about $750 million of public money to build the stadium, have a joint-use agreement with UNLV. It requires only 12 hours of prep time from the end of a Rebels game or the Las Vegas Bowl to the start of an NFL game, which it easily would have even if the Raiders’ Dec. 18 kickoff gets moved up.

Currently, the situation has not been resolved between the bowl and the Raiders, who are one of the most incompetent NFL franchises trying to bully a bowl game. Who wins? Stay tuned. As far as the Raiders’ Commitment to Excellence? What a joke.

What’s no laughing matter are my updated bowl projections. Each matchup includes the projected point spread based on Action Network senior writer Collin Wilson’s current college football betting power ratings.

Updated 2022 College Football Betting Power Ratings

CFP National Championship Prediction

  • CFP National Championship

    Monday, Jan. 9
    Los Angeles, CA

    Ohio State

    -1

    Alabama


College Football Playoff Semifinals Projections

  • Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Atlanta, GA

    Alabama

    -10.5

    Michigan

  • Vrbo Fiesta Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Glendale, AZ

    Ohio State

    -2.5

    Georgia


New Year’s Six Bowl Games

  • Rose Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Pasadena, CA

    USC

    Penn State

    -1.5
  • Goodyear Cotton Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Arlington, TX

    Utah

    -2.5

    Cincinnati

  • Allstate Sugar Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    New Orleans, LA

    Oklahoma State

    PK

    Tennessee

    PK
  • Capital One Orange Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Miami, FL

    Clemson

    -5.5

    Ole Miss


Projections for All Other Bowls

  • Citrus Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Orlando, FL

    Maryland

    Mississippi State

    -2
  • ReliaQuest Bowl

    Monday, Jan. 2
    Tampa, FL

    Kentucky

    -6.5

    Illinois

  • Music City Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 31
    Nashville, TN

    Minnesota

    -1

    Florida

  • Arizona Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Tucson, AZ

    Eastern Michigan

    San Diego State

    -8
  • TaxSlayer Gator Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Jacksonville, FL

    NC State

    -1.5

    Arkansas

  • Tony the Tiger Sun Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    El Paso, TX

    Syracuse

    UCLA

    -5
  • Duke’s Mayo Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 30
    Charlotte, NC

    Iowa

    Florida State

    -7.5
  • Valero Alamo Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    San Antonio, TX

    TCU

    -1.5

    Oregon

  • Cheez-It Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Orlando, FL

    Notre Dame

    Texas

    -3
  • Pinstripe Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 29
    Bronx, NY

    Purdue

    -2.5

    North Carolina

  • TaxAct Texas Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Houston, TX

    Kansas

    Texas A&M

    -9
  • Holiday Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    San Diego, CA

    Wake Forest

    -6.5

    Washington State

  • AutoZone Liberty Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Memphis, TN

    Oklahoma

    -9.5

    Auburn

  • Military Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 28
    Annapolis, MD

    Duke

    UCF

    -8
  • Guaranteed Rate Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Phoenix, AZ

    Wisconsin

    Kansas State

    -3
  • Camellia Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Montgomery, AL

    Troy

    -13

    Ohio

  • Birmingham Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Birmingham, AL

    UAB

    PK

    Marshall

    PK
  • First Responder Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 27
    Dallas, TX

    Texas Tech

    -3

    Boise State

  • Quick Lane Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 26
    Detroit, MI

    Rutgers

    -2

    Central Michigan

  • EasyPost Hawai’i Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 24
    Honolulu, HI

    UNLV

    Western Kentucky

    -5
  • Gasparilla Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Tampa, FL

    Miami

    PK

    Michigan State

    PK
  • Independence Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 23
    Shreveport, LA

    Tulane

    -12.5

    Middle Tennessee

  • Armed Forces Bowl

    Thursday, Dec. 22
    Fort Worth, TX

    Baylor

    -4.5

    SMU

  • New Orleans Bowl

    Wednesday, Dec. 21
    New Orleans, LA

    UTSA

    -1.5

    Coastal Carolina

  • Boca Raton Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boca Raton, FL

    BYU

    -13

    Liberty

  • Famous Idaho Potato Bowl

    Tuesday, Dec. 20
    Boise, ID

    Miami (OH)

    San Jose State

    -10
  • Myrtle Beach Bowl

    Monday, Dec. 19
    Conway, SC

    East Carolina

    -4

    South Alabama

  • Frisco Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Frisco, TX

    Oregon State

    -2

    Houston

  • Las Vegas Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Las Vegas, NV

    LSU

    -3

    Washington

  • LendingTree Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Mobile, AL

    Appalachian State

    -2.5

    Toledo

  • Jimmy Kimmel LA Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Los Angeles, CA

    Arizona

    Air Force

    -7.5
  • New Mexico Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Albuquerque, NM

    Wyoming

    Rice

    -1
  • Wasabi Fenway Bowl

    Saturday, Dec. 17
    Boston, MA

    Pittsburgh

    -11.5

    Memphis

  • Duluth Trading Cure Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 16
    Orlando, FL

    Georgia Southern

    -1.5

    North Texas

  • Bahamas Bowl

    Friday, Dec. 16
    Nassau, Bahamas

    Florida Atlantic

    Northern Illinois

    -3.5
  • TBA Bowl**

    TBD
    TBD

    UTEP

    Southern Miss

    -10

* The highest-rated champion from the Group of Five conferences (American, Conference USA, Mid-American, Mountain West and Sun Belt) will be selected to play in the Cotton Bowl if it does not qualify for College Football Playoff.

**ESPN will create a bowl this fall to replace the San Francisco Bowl if it is not played.

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