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Stuckey, Locky, Wilson: 3 College Football Moneyline Underdogs to Bet for Week 10

Nov 03, 2018 10:22 AM EDT
Credit:

Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Missouri defensive lineman Chris Turner

  • Don't forget about betting underdogs on the moneyline when finalizing your Week 10 college football bets.
  • Three of our college football experts give their best moneyline underdog bets for Week 10.
  • If you're feeling a little crazy, a moneyline parlay of all three pays approximately 90-1.

Like we do each week, we’ll give out our favorite moneyline underdogs on the Week 10 college football card. Play one that catches your eye, throw all three in a longshot parlay or just read for additional insight.

Two will always come from Collin Wilson and me on The Action Network Colleges podcast — and college football contributor Locky Lockerson will provide the other.

Our profit streak came to an end last Saturday, as we struck out while going for home runs with Hawaii and UTEP. However, Nevada did pull through late night to limit the damage.

Let’s start a new winning streak in Week 10 with three late afternoon moneyline dogs that can hopefully bark for us. If you’re feeling a little crazy, a moneyline parlay of all three pays approximately 90-1.

YTD: 10-16 +5.75 units

Stuckey: Missouri +200

  • Spread: Florida -6
  • Over/Under: 57
  • Time: 4 p.m. ET
  • TV: SECN

This is a really good matchup for Missouri, which is much better than its 4-4 record indicates. The Tigers have had one of the toughest schedules in FBS. And of their four losses, they could have (and arguably should have) won two against South Carolina and Kentucky. Those two SEC losses came by a combined three points.

Speaking of Kentucky, I think Missouri can follow the script the Wildcats used when they pulled out a win in Gainesville: take away the run and turn quarterback Feleipe Franks into a passer. Missouri can certainly do the former, as it has an absolutely dominant run defense that S&P+ ranks third overall nationally.

If you take away the Gators’ running game, they become very inefficient on offense. Florida ranks 85th in the country with a subpar 58.4% completion percentage. Florida does rank second nationally in Adjusted Sack Rate on Passing Downs, which means Franks will have all day to throw against a Missouri team that ranks 129th in the same category.

However, I don’t think Franks is a consistent enough passer to shred a Missouri secondary that has played better since naming two new starters in Christian Holmes and safety Tyree Gillespie.

On the other side of the ball, Florida can get after the quarterback as well as any team in the country (11th in Adjusted Sack Rate), but Missouri actually protects Drew Lock well, ranking 18th  in that same category.

I also think Florida may come out very flat just one week after getting eliminated from SEC East contention, while Missouri has continued to bounce back after tough losses and should still have motivation to get bowl eligible.

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