Florida State vs. Arizona State Odds, Betting Pick: Spread, Prediction for 2019 Sun Bowl

Florida State vs. Arizona State Odds, Betting Pick

• Odds: Arizona State -3
• Over/Under: 53
• Time: 2 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS
• Location: El Paso, Texas

Odds as of Monday night and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).No strings attached. No rollover required.

The roster situation for each team could be described as fluid.

I bet Arizona State early on the Action App based upon the playing status of running back Eno Benjamin and wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk.

After all, freshman quarterback Jayden Daniels has been electric in games this season thanks in part to the help of his best skill position players.

Both Benjamin and Aiyuk will sit out the Sun Bowl for the NFL Draft. Benjamin represents 71% of the total rushing yards on the roster, a number that climbs to 91% among non-quarterbacks.

Aiyuk had 65 receptions for 1,192 yards to make up 39% of the Sun Devils passing game production. The combination of Aiyuk and Benjamin absence in the Sun Bowl leaves Daniels with just 52% of his targets and 51% of his total receiving yards.

Florida State will be without their offensive star Cam Akers. Leading wide receiver Tamorrion Terry is practicing and is on track to play, but has stated endlessly that his decision on the NFL may come after the Sun Bowl.

Quarterback Alex Hornibrook and linebacker Dontavious Jackson have moved on from the team. Offensive lineman Jauan Williams has missed practices for to personal reasons. The Seminoles may have a few others declare for the draft and sit the bowl game, keeping both teams roster's in question.

With so much production missing from each offensive unit, I'm looking at the under.

Our Action Network projection of 49.5 has some value against the current market. Florida State does run one of the quickest tempo offenses in the nation under Kendal Briles, who jets to Fayetteville for the Arkansas Razorbacks after this game.

In Tempe, Herm Edwards fired most of the offensive staff including coordinator Rob Likens.

The overall success rate and explosiveness for each offense rank 80th or below. Florida State has a rushing success rate of 103rd, and those numbers were with a healthy offensive line and Cam Akers in the backfield.

With a dip expected offensively for Arizona State after its skill position losses, take the under with two rosters and coaching staffs that are in flux.

As for the side, Florida State has advantages with seasoned coordinators against a patched up staff for Arizona State.

Expect second half adjustments by Florida State to be the difference. — Collin Wilson

Picks: Under 54 and Florida State +4

I agree with Collin that the play is on the Seminoles here as I make this game closer to a PK with Arizona State’s two best skill position players sitting out.

Florida State’s offense has been held back all season by atrocious offensive line play (120th in Line Yards and 114th in sack rate) which has killed so many drives and prevented the Noles from getting anything downfield. However, they will be going up against a fairly weak Arizona State defensive line that really doesn’t get much pressure at all (102nd in sack rate) in its 3-3-5 base.

ASU’s defense does excel at stopping the run, so don’t expect FSU to get much going on the ground, especially without Akers and Khalan Laborn, but James Blackman should have much more time in the pocket than he’s used to and he has the ability to move this offense down the field.

The special teams edge for ASU is a little worrisome, but I think FSU more than makes up for that discrepancy with how much of an advantage the Noles have in finishing drives on both sides of the ball.

I expect FSU to show up here for interim head coach Odell Haggins, who is loved by the players. This likely comes down to the wire as every ASU game seems to, so I’ll gladly take +4 or above in a coin flip to me. — Stuckey

Pick: Florida State +4