Georgia-LSU Betting Guide: Is it Finally Time to Buy the Tigers?


USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Elijah Holyfield and Devin White

Oct 13, 2018, 02:11 PM EDT

Georgia-LSU Betting Odds, Pick

  • Line: Georgia -7.5
  • Over/Under: 50.5
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: CBS

>> All odds as of 7 a.m. ET on Friday. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.

We at The Action Network haven’t been big fans of LSU this fall. The Tigers were being overrated relative to their underlying metrics, and we’ve bet against them quite a bit.

But there’s a point when even the team you’re down on the most becomes valuable. Value is relative, and this might finally be the week LSU offers some value — as a touchdown home underdog to Georgia.

This is the Bulldogs’ first true test in a stretch filled with them — they play LSU, Florida, Kentucky and Auburn in their next four games.

Market Moves for LSU-Georgia

By Danny Donahue

Bettors are split down the middle in this one, with each side generating exactly 50% of bets. Georgia has a slight edge in dollars wagered (54%) and has moved from -7 to -8, then back to 7.5, since opening.

As for the total, it’s fallen a half-point from its opening number behind 54% of bets and 86% of dollars on the under.

Trends to Know

By Evan Abrams

Georgia is averaging 42.8 points per game this season, which is 15th in FBS.

Since 2011, 13 different teams have traveled to “Death Valley” in October or later averaging at least 35 points on the season, and those teams are 3-10 SU and ATS, averaging just 14.6 points at Tiger Stadium and failing to cover the spread by an average of 10 points.

By John Ewing

No. 13 LSU lost to Florida 27-19 in Week 6. According to Bet Labs, ranked teams after a loss have gone 232-279-15 (45%) ATS in their next game since 2005.

If the team is an underdog, like LSU is on Saturday, the against-the-spread record drops to 44-61-3 (42%).

Key Metrics for Georgia-LSU

By Steven Petrella

Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm gets pegged as a game manager because of his team’s excellent stable of running backs. But his 10.5 yards per pass attempt ranks fourth nationally.

LSU’s is tied for 25th in passing defense at 6.2 yards per attempt allowed. The only team to really have success moving the ball through the air against the Tigers was Louisiana Tech, and it wasn’t all that efficient in the process.

How Does LSU Match Up?

By Collin Wilson

After LSU’s loss to Florida and Georgia’s rout of Vanderbilt, I assumed this would be a buy low/sell high situation and I’d be backing LSU.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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