Syracuse-West Virginia Betting Guide: So Many Unknowns in 2018 Camping World Bowl

Dec 28, 2018 12:25 PM EST
Credit:

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Eric Dungey and Jack Allison

2018 Camping World Bowl Betting Odds: Syracuse-West Virginia

  • Odds: Syracuse -2
  • Over/Under: 66
  • Date: Friday, Dec. 28
  • Location: Orlando, Fla.
  • Time: 5:15 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of Thursday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time bowl odds and win probabilities on your bets.


Syracuse has seen the biggest line move of bowl season after West Virginia star quarterback Will Grier announced he’ll sit out to prep for the NFL Draft.

While Syracuse has its starting quarterback, it may use two, plus a flood of freshmen across the board who haven’t played much.

Is there still value in backing Syracuse, or has the line moved too far?

Odds Moves for Syracuse-West Virginia

By Danny Donahue

Following Grier’s decision to sit, this line dropped from WVU -7.5 to -1.5, but even that wasn’t enough in the eyes of bettors.

Seventy-eight percent of bets and 91% of dollars have backed Syracuse at the time of writing, causing this line to move from +1.5 to -2.

A similar line move has taken place on the total. Following Grier’s announcement, the total fell six points from 74 to 68, and has since continued down to 66. While 59% of bettors are backing the over, 81% of dollars have landed on the under.

Trends to Know

By John Ewing

West Virginia averages 42.3 points per game (ninth). Since 2005, teams scoring at least 40 points per game have gone just 54-67 (45%) ATS in bowl games, per our Bet Labs data.

By Evan Abrams

Over the past five years, one quick way to lose money betting in bowl season is to back a team after the line move, when the public is also wagering on that team.

Since 2014, when a team has at least 60% of the tickets and sees the point spread move against them (-4.5 to -6, for example), it has been a recipe for a betting disaster in bowl season.

This is exactly the scenario in which Syracuse finds itself on Friday.

WVU Down 3 Key Pieces

By Steve Petrella

West Virginia is missing three of its biggest offensive assets — starting quarterback Will Grier, starting left tackle Yodny Cajuste and wide receiver Gary Jennings.

Jack Allison is expected to start at quarterback — he’s played sparingly in two seasons, and was a 4-star prospect out of the top level of Florida high school football in 2016. But Trey Lowe, a true freshman dual-threat, is also expected to play, according to coach Dana Holgorsen.

This could be a problem against Syracuse’s strong pass rush, which ranks 28th in adjusted sack rate on defense.

Who’s More Motivated?

By Stuckey

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