West Virginia-Texas Betting Guide: Are Last Week’s Results Creating Value?

Nov 03, 2018 10:25 AM EDT

USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tom Herman and Will Grier

West Virginia at Texas Betting Pick, Odds

  • Spread: Texas -2.5
  • Over/Under: 58.5
  • Time: 3:30 p.m. ET
  • TV: FOX

We have two teams coming off high-profile games that couldn’t have ended more differently — West Virginia’s blowout win over Baylor on Thursday night and Texas’ loss to Oklahoma State in prime time on Saturday.

Is that skewing this line and creating value? Let’s dive in.

>> All odds as of 7 a.m. ET on Friday. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.

Market Moves for Texas-West Virginia

By Danny Donahue

Bettors are completely split. As of Friday morning, West Virginia has a slight edge, getting 51% of bets. Despite the even betting, the Mountaineers have moved from +2.5 to +2, then back to +2.5. Their bettors have accounted for 69% of money wagered.

While they may be split on the teams involved, bettors seem to be in complete agreement on the over. Getting 87% of bets and 93% of dollars wagered, the over in in this game is one of the most popular plays in all of college football this weekend.

A few books have nudged the total up from 58 to 58.5, but most are holding steady at 58 despite the heavy majority expecting a high-scoring game.

High Winds Hitting Austin

By Steve Petrella

Winds of about 17 mph are expected at Darrell K Royal Stadium on Saturday, according to our weather dashboard at Sports Insights.

Games with winds of at least 15 mph have hit the under against the closing total at a 57.4% rate since 2005 and a 62.8% clip in the last six years, as college football has gotten more pass happy. This trend is just 5-5 in 2018, though.

Be sure to monitor the weather on Saturday, because as Stuckey details below, West Virginia’s passing attack against Texas’ secondary could be a make-or-break matchup in this game.

West Virginia Can Expose Texas Secondary

By Stuckey

Will Grier and the West Virginia passing attack might pose plenty of problems for a Texas defense that remains extremely vulnerable against the pass, as we saw against both Oklahoma and Oklahoma State already this season.



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