Falcons-Steelers Betting Preview: Buckle Up for a Shootout?

Oct 07, 2018 11:48 PM EDT

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Julio Jones, Antonio Brown

Betting odds: Atlanta Falcons at Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Spread: Steelers -3
  • Over/Under: 58
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: During the early stages of the week, this game resembled a juicy juice factory. Oddsmakers were scared to allow bettors to take the Falcons plus the hook, as the Steelers line was (and still is at some books) up to -3 (-130), which is higher than we generally see juice reach (you can find updated odds here).

Alas, the Steelers were finally pushed up to -3.5 at a number of shops. They’ve gotten 56% of bets and 70% of spread dollars thus far, but if a wave of sharp action comes in on the Falcons at this new number, we could definitely see a move back into juice-land. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: At 58, many bettors may be wary of taking the over in the Falcons-Steelers game.

In Ben Roethlisberger’s career, the over has been a very profitable trend when he plays at home, but the better angle may be the first-half over.

In Roethlisberger’s career, the over is 61-47-3 (56.5%), making him the third-most profitable quarterback to the over in that span behind Drew Brees and Tom Brady, according to our Bet Labs data.

In the first half, the over is 54-40-7 (57.4%) when Big Ben starts at home, the second-most profitable home quarterback behind Brett Favre over that span.

On top of that, when the full-game total is 50 or more, the first half over is 6-1-1 at home for Roethlisberger, too. — Evan Abrams



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