Broncos vs. Jaguars Picks & Props To Bet: How Experts Are Betting This Week 2 NFL Game

Broncos vs. Jaguars Picks & Props To Bet: How Experts Are Betting This Week 2 NFL Game article feature image
Credit:

Matthew Stockman/Getty Images. Pictured: Melvin Gordon

Broncos vs. Jaguars Odds

Broncos Odds -6 (-110)
Jaguars Odds +6 (-110)
Moneyline -275/ +220
Over/Under 45.5
Time 1 p.m. ET
TV CBS
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute NFL odds here.

Broncos vs. Jaguars Picks

Chris Raybon: Not betting the Broncos -6 on the road. Not betting on Urban Meyer to cover just to win $100 for every $110.

The only bet I’d make here is Jags moneyline, but i’m not sure that even offers enough compensation to take the plunge with Meyer.

Pick: Pass

Click the arrow to read Raybon’s DFS analysis

DFS Plays

Marvin Jones Jr. should see a lot of Patrick Surtain wirth Ronald Darby out, but the Broncos are set up to take away explosive plays. Even with Darby out, I’m hesitant to target Jones — or any Jags player, for that matter.

While this could be a prime Week 1 overreaction bounce-back spot for the Jags, I’ve been skeptical of Meyer all offseason, and a Week 1 drubbing does not make me want to invest hard-earned money. We haven’t seen the Jags go against a top-flight defense until now, so even though it seems like there’s nowhere to go but up, the range of outcomes also includes a scarier low than Trevor Lawrence throwing for 300-plus yards and three TDs.

Meyer tends to correct his gaffes eventually, so if I had to play someone on the Jags, it would be James Robinson at $5,500 on FanDuel ($6,400 on DraftKings is too much) after Robinson played more snaps than Carlos Hyde by saw 5 carries to Hyde’s 9 last week. It’s Broncos DST or bust here for me.

On the Denver side, Melvin Gordon and Javonte Williams are both viable. The coaching staff wants to split their workload evenly, but this could be a high-volume backfield game for Denver after Jacksonville allowed Houston backs to pile up 41 touches for 144 yards and three TDs.

My favorite play in the Denver receiving corps is Tim Patrick, who had three 100-yard games and a multi-TD game last season. Patrick played over K.J. Hamler, who dropped a long TD. Cortland Sutton ran a route on only 80% of the dropbacks despite Jerry Jeudy going down, so I’m not sure how far along he truly is in his recovery, and Patrick has looked like Denver’s best receiver for quite some time now.

I also like Noah Fant as a price-point pivot off Higbee. Fant caught 6 passes for 62 yards on 8 targets last week while playing 77% of the snaps. He faces a Jags defense that sits 24th in DVOA versus tight ends after one week.

  • Cash-viable plays: None
  • GPP Plays: Melvin Gordon, Javonte Williams, Tim Patrick, Noah Fant, Broncos DST, James Robinson

Broncos vs. Jaguars Prop Picks

Marvin Jones Under 55.5 Rec Yards (-113) at FanDuel

Sean Koerner: It’s ideal timing to fade the Jags’ pass offense a week after attempting 51 passes and now going up against an excellent secondary. Jones is offering the most value to go under his current prop.

  • Bet to: 52.5

How would you rate this article?