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NFL Preseason Player Props, PrizePicks Predictions: 5 Picks for Rams vs. Bengals

NFL Preseason Player Props, PrizePicks Predictions: 5 Picks for Rams vs. Bengals article feature image

Ronald Martinez/Getty Images. Pictured: Matt Gay.

Sean Koerner, Action Network’s Director of Predictive Analytics, is 28-13 with his PrizePicks plays in the 2022 NFL preseason.

The number in parenthesis is a confidence rating from 1-10.

Matt Gay (Rams) — Under 2 FGM (6)

Every FGM prop for the preseason should be 1.5 (unless there are multiple kickers active). Being able to get Under 2 is too good to pass up.

Here is my expected distribution for Gay’s made field goals today:

Field Goals Made Odds
0 0.18
1 0.31
2 0.26
3 0.15
4 0.06
5 0.02
6 0.01

Therefore this prop has a 49% chance to win, 26% chance of ending in a push, and 24% chance of losing.

Jake Browning (Bengals) — Under 105.5 Passing Yards (7)

The Bengals expect to replicate their Week 2 approach against the Rams. Browning started the second half last week but gave way to Drew Plitt in the fourth quarter.

Browning will struggle to clear this number in about 1 1/2 quarters of action. I’m projecting him closer to 87.5 yards.

John Wolford (Rams) — Under 115.5 Passing Yards (8)

Wolford is questionable for today’s game with a hangnail on his throwing hand. Even if he does suit up, I wouldn’t expect him to play more than 1-1 1/2 quarters.

I like the correlation of taking the under on his passing yard prop and the over on Bryce Perkins’ rushing prop. I’m projecting Wolford’s median closer to 85.5 pass yards.

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Bryce Perkins — Over 15.5 Rushing Yards (8)

There is a chance Perkins ends up playing the entire game. Instead of taking the over on his passing prop, I like the idea of targeting his rushing prop. He could clear this number in just 2-2 1/2 quarters of action (if Wolford ends up suiting up).

Love the correlation between the two Rams QB props. I’m projecting this one closer to 20.5 yards.

Trayveon Williams — Over 22.5 Rushing Yards (9)

The Bengals are expected to have a similar game plan as Week 2. That means Williams will likely lead the Bengals backfield in rush attempts today, so I’m projecting him closer to 33.5 yards.

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