The Denver Broncos (7-2) host the Las Vegas Raiders (2-6) to open Week 10 on Thursday Night Football on November 6. Kickoff from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver, Colo., is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. TNF will broadcast on Prime Video.
The Broncos are 9-point favorites over the Raiders on the spread (Broncos -9); the game total is 43 points. Denver is a -525 moneyline favorite and Las Vegas is a +390 underdog.
Below, you can find our Raiders vs Broncos picks for Thursday Night Football, which include predictions for the spread, game total and two player props.
Raiders vs Broncos Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
| 8:15 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Thursday Night Football Odds
- Raiders vs Broncos Moneyline: Raiders +390, Broncos -525
- Raiders vs Broncos Spread: Raiders +9, Broncos -9
- Raiders vs Broncos Total: 43
Raiders vs Broncos odds via bet365
Raiders vs Broncos Spread Prediction
Rushing success rate is a useful metric because it can give you an idea about how often an offense can expect to find themselves in unfavorable third-down situations.
Avoiding obvious passing situations against the Broncos defense is critical given their ability to pressure the passer. The Raiders rank 29th in rushing success rate, which is a major problem for their offensive prospects in this matchup with the Broncos tonight.
The Broncos defense is the only team in the league with a sack rate above 10%. They also allow teams to convert on third down just 28% of the time, also the best mark for any defense this season.
Combining the lack of running game for Las Vegas with its inability to protect the football, I do not see a path for them to consistently sustain drives in this game.
Geno Smith’s turnover-worthy throw rate is more than double his percentage of big-time throws. Smith has averaged just 5.7 yards per attempt under pressure as a Raider, with an astronomical 7.1% interception rate without a clean pocket.
As long as Bo Nix can avoid early mistakes, I expect Denver to win with margin.
Pick: Broncos -8.5 (-110)
Raiders vs Broncos Over/Under Pick
By Billy Ward
It’s hard to have much hope for the Raiders offense tonight. They came into the week ranked 29th with a pathetic 16.5 points per game average — and that was before trading top wide receiver Jakobi Meyers at the trade deadline.
While rookie running back Ashton Jeanty has shown promise, he’s had a hard time making anything happen behind an offensive line that ranks last in adjusted line yards.
Now they’re on the road in Denver and playing on a short week against a top-five defense by both PPG and DVOA. That’s a pretty bleak outlook for the Raiders, who seemingly have already turned their attention to 2026.
That also should lead to a fairly low-scoring affair.
The Raiders defense is more mediocre than bad, and Denver isn’t the type of team that’s going to hang a huge number once the game is already in hand. The Broncos have a roughly league-average offense by both DVOA and points scored, with an essentially neutral Pass Rate Over Expectation.
That tells me they’ll be content to kill the clock once they go up by multiple scores, especially with young QB Bo Nix being relatively mistake prone.
The one way this game might go sideways is by making mistakes on offense, so they’ll be incentivized to avoid those as much as possible.
The best line on the under is 42.5 at +105 odds on Caesars Sportsbook.
Pick: Under 42.5 (+105)
Raiders vs Broncos Player Props: Tre Tucker
By Nick Giffen
Echoing my colleague Gilles Gallant for this touchdown pick.
Raiders wide receiver Tre Tucker's situation has improved with Jakobi Meyers getting traded to the Jaguars. Tucker's role should only expand with more targets available — not to mention a potentially favorable passing script tonight as the Raiders are 8-to-9-point underdogs on the spread.
The Broncos remain without superstar cornerback Patrick Surtain II and their man coverage could be burned by Tucker. The speedster also gets carries on the ground from time to time, so he has multiple avenues to a touchdown.
If you're looking for something juicier, I also placed a smaller bet on Tucker to score the first touchdown at +2200 on FanDuel.
Pick: Tre Tucker Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+375)
Raiders vs Broncos Player Props: RJ Harvey
By Derek Carty
THE BLITZ is forecasting 4.30 rush attempts for RJ Harvey compared to 7.12 rush attempts implied by the sportsbooks, so I believe there is some value here.
If you take the under, you’d be projected to win 70% of the time, resulting in a 54% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $53.56.
Harvey has gone under 5.5 carries in 6-of-9 games this season. This play is good down to at least -154.
Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics!
Pick: RJ Harvey Under 5.5 Rush Attempts (+120; bet to -154)
