Patriots vs. Ravens Prop Bets & Picks for Sunday Night Football
Photo credit: Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Lamar Jackson
- Mike Randle highlights three of the best NFL prop bets for Sunday Night Football.
- Find our picks for the trio of Patriots vs. Ravens player props outlined below.
NFL player prop bets offer tremendous value on the board every week. They receive less action and money than NFL sides and totals, opening up attractive opportunities for bettors.
One of the best resources to help determine which prop bets to wager on is our FantasyLabs Player Props tool.
We leverage the listed prop bets against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in three of the past four seasons.
Each prop bet receives a Bet Quality grade between 1 and 10, with 10 being the biggest edge.
My Sunday night prop bets have hit at a 78.2% (18-5) rate this season. Let’s take a look at three props offering value for the Sunday Night Football game between the New England Patriots and Baltimore Ravens.
Patriots vs. Ravens Prop Bets
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson
The Pick: Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (-200)
Bet Quality: 10/10
The public is certainly concerned about the Patriots’ stout pass defense, currently ranked second in pass defense DVOA. However, with an extra bye week to prepare for this game, look for Ravens head coach John Harbaugh to find creative ways to get Lamar Jackson’s pass attack going.
While the Patriots have limited opposing quarterbacks to just two passing touchdowns, they have yet to face the dual-threat efficiency of Jackson. With explosive wide receiver Marquise Brown returning after an ankle sprain, Jackson will have his full complement of weapons to attack all areas of the field.
Jackson has thrown 11 touchdowns with Brown on the field and zero without him. Look for the rookie quarterback to find the end zone at least once on Sunday Night Football.
Our projection of 1.1 passing touchdowns is a full 60% over the implied total of 0.8. I’m betting this 10-rated prop even with the high juice.
Since the start of the season, props with a grade of 10 have gone 139-88-3 (60.5% win rate).
Ravens WR Marquise Brown
The Pick: Over 2.5 Receptions (+107)
Bet Quality: 10/10
Brown is the biggest passing game chess piece for Harbaugh. Look for the explosive rookie wideout to get his hands on the ball in a multitude of ways.
When healthy, Brown has been averaging 7.8 targets and 4.2 receptions per game. In a game against the high-scoring Patriots, Brown needs to be involved in the passing attack.
With the New England defense needing to focus on the Ravens’ uber-efficient rushing attack, there will be openings in the short-to-intermediate areas of the field for Brown.
Our FantasyLabs projection of 3.1 receptions is 28% above the implied total of 2.4.
Patriots WR Mohamed Sanu
The Pick: Under 36.5 Receiving Yards (+100)
Bet Quality: 7/10
This 7-rated prop on Sunday Night Football has the sixth-best odds (+100) on the prop bets list.
The Ravens secondary will be at full strength with the trio of Jimmy Smith, Marcus Peters and Marlon Humphrey locking up the Patriots receivers man-to-man.
Sanu lacks the speed to get deep and will remain a short-area safety target for Patriots quarterback Tom Brady. Last week at home against top Cleveland cornerback Denzel Ward, Sanu managed just 23 receiving yards on five targets.
I will bet on the Ravens secondary limiting the veteran Sanu and keeping him below this 36.5 total. I would bet this 7-rated prop up to -110.