Perry’s 2019 U.S. Open Betting Card: Don’t Overlook Justin Thomas

Jun 13, 2019 10:00 PM EDT

Credit: Rob Schumacher-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Justin Thomas

  • The 2019 U.S. Open gets underway at Pebble Beach Golf Links on Thursday June 13 with Dustin Johnson and Brooks Koepka atop the odds board.
  • Joshua Perry lays out his full betting card, which covers one of the favorites, some mid-tier selections and a few longshots

It’s not very often we get a U.S. Open course we’re so familiar with. Pebble Beach is an exception. That gives speculators a leg up on the preparation compared to most U.S. Open weekends.

The course will be set up differently from the AT&T Pro-Am, but success in that event has historically been a precursor to U.S. Open success.

Let’s dive into my card for the week, which covers a favorite, a few mid-tier selections and some longshots who have a shot to contend.

The Course

Pebble Beach will check in at a relatively short 7,075 yards for a par 71. The fairways will be tighter and the rough will be thicker than the during the regular tour stop, but it will test the same parts of each player’s game.

The players will need to be completely dialed in with their irons and they will need to be good scramblers and have confidence on the poa annua greens.

Even the best ball-strikers will miss their fair share of greens this week so the ability to minimize damage will be incredibly important.

Since this is a shorter course, bombing it off the tee isn’t a requirement at Pebble Beach. Length will be helpful as it will allow players to club down a bit off the tee on some holes, making it more likely that they’ll keep the ball on the fairway which gives them a better chance of hitting the green.

Perry’s U.S. Open Bets: Favorites

Everyone is here this week, so we’ll get some pretty good value down the board.

Dustin Johnson, Brooks Koepka and Rory McIlroy are all essentially co-favorites in that +800 range and each has a reason to feel good about this week.

McIlroy is coming off a dominant victory in Canada; Koepka is the two-time defending champ of the U.S. Open; and Johnson has won here twice and held the 54-hole lead the last time the U.S. Open was here in 2010.

Tiger Woods is next in line at +1000 and will be just as confident at the aforementioned trio. Woods already has a major this year and he’s won a U.S Open at Pebble.

Patrick Cantlay (+1600) is next on the board and has moved up the board over the past few weeks.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game

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