2022 Masters Odds & Picks: The First 4 Golfers We Bet on Sunday Night
Logan Bowles/PGA TOUR via Getty Images. Pictured: Sam Burns.
Click arrow to expand 2022 Masters odds via PointsBet
2022 Masters Odds
|Si Woo Kim||+9000|
|Min Woo Lee||+15000|
|Erik Van Rooyen||+20000|
|Harold Varner III||+25000|
|Jose Maria Olazabal||+200000|
Betting outrights for golf’s four major championships is unique, to say the least.
Odds are posted for the Masters, PGA Championship, US Open and British Open throughout the year, although they usually reset on Monday mornings.
That means there’s twice the value to potentially find.
The odds that were up at the end of the Valero Texas Open don’t necessarily take into account every players’ form or how much betting action each will get. So, on Monday morning, bettors will check their same sites and see some very different numbers than they saw on Sunday night.
That means there’s a market to take advantage of on Sunday, and then the overcorrections and overreactions present more opportunity on Monday.
Well, the end of the Valero Texas Open means it’s officially Masters week, and the GolfBet staff has been waiting for this for a long time. Below, four of our writers lay out their favorite outright plays and explain why bettors should be on them right away.
2022 Masters Picks
Sam Burns +5000 (PointsBet)
Jason Sobel: Whether the game of golf is better with recurring dominance or abject parity is a subject worthy of debate. While most might blindly argue for the entertainment value of the latter, let’s not forget what an in-prime Tiger Woods did for ratings and interest levels.
The same can be said about which one is better for bettors, as dominance led to longer numbers for those who weren’t doing the dominating, but parity leads to other headaches. Case in point: At the time I’m writing this, there are 13 different players with odds of +2000 or shorter on DraftKings – and yes, while you can (and should) shop around, that’s essentially the market price.
I’ll undoubtedly have some investment on two of those 13, as I’ve liked Patrick Cantlay for months and I’ve recently come around on Brooks Koepka. Each will easily be inside my top-five when I rank the entire field. If you’re looking for a bargain, it has to be one with a realistic chance of cashing, all of which means this bet should come with a warning attached that each of the past dozen Masters champions were ranked inside the top-30 in the world.
Finding a player who fits the profile, yet whose odds aren’t too short is a difficult proposition, but Burns is that player. I think the only thing holding him back from being in the +2000/+2500 range is the fact that he’s yet to play this event – and as we all know, no Masters rookie has won a green jacket since Fuzzy Zoeller in 1979.
In the past year, Burns has largely proven impervious to both final-round pressures and competing against the game’s best players. Scottie Scheffler is getting all the shine right now, and rightfully so, but his fellow 25-year-old isn’t much far behind him on the learning curve.
Burns also tends to go low on Thursdays – he ranks 12th on the PGA TOUR in Round 1 scoring average this season; he was 16th last season – so if you’re saving him for a live bet later on, that might not be a wise decision. Instead, play him now, take the bargain and be confident in knowing that other than inexperience, he owns everything needed to win this tournament.
Patrick Cantlay +2500 (DraftKings)
Chris Murphy: It’s not usually a good thing that I feel the need to explain away the bad for my first click, especially when they are near the top of the board, but it’s been an interesting start to the year for Patrick Cantlay. He has struggled to find his normally sharp ball striking this year, with just one event since the end of January that has seen him gain strokes on any field with his approach play.
The good news is that despite those issues, he still has four top-10 finishes to his name, including a runner-up in a playoff at the Waste Management Open during the week he gained two shots on the field with his irons. I am certainly throwing out his week at THE PLAYERS, as he has made it pretty clear that Florida golf is not his thing and when we look past that we can see a player who won four tournaments just last year priced in a tier below the rest of the elites on TOUR.
Cantlay’s +2500 is the tag that sticks out to me the most as we head into tournament week, and it’s one of those where I’d be kicking myself if I didn’t click it and he came through. He simply has too much talent and winning ability for this price, which makes him my first click to the card for the Masters.
Adam Scott +6000 (PointsBet)
Matt Vincenzi: I actually bet an 80-1 on Adam Scott back in September, so my first click happened about seven months ago. I can see this number getting better as odds move throughout the week, but I still see value in 60-1 on the Aussie.
It could be argued that Scott’s entire season revolves around going into major championships in good form. At this stage in his career, the only thing that really impacts his legacy is finding a way to win another major. He’s playing great golf at the moment and Augusta National is clearly a great fit for his skill set, considering he’s won the event (2013) and has four additional top-10 finishes at the Masters. He recently finished fourth at Riviera, which has been a strong indicator in the past of success at Augusta National.
The 41-year-old did exactly what he needed to do in his most recent start at the WGC-Dell Match Play. He advanced out of his group before narrowly losing to Kevin Kisner in the Round of 16. He showed he was in great form but didn’t need to play two or three more rounds to put additional wear and tear on his body.
Augusta National has been lengthened a bit this year, and a lot of rain in March means fairways are likely to provide even less roll than usual. Scott ranks 19th in the field in his past 36 rounds in Driving Distance, and his length will undoubtedly provide an advantage.
Scott has the current form, course history and knowledge and ideal skill set to contend for his second green jacket this week.
Shane Lowry +9000 (BetFred)
Joshua Perry: Lowry has been on my card a lot this year. Prior to Match Play, he had recorded seven straight top-25s worldwide. The one time I left him off was the Honda, so I’m surprised he didn’t end up winning that week.
As for Augusta, it’s been the major stop that’s given him the most trouble so far in his career. He missed the cut in three of his first four appearances. But the last two years, he has gotten a better feel for it, finishing 25th and 21st. We know he can win a major and we’ve seen him take down a limited WGC field, as well. So when he’s at his best, he’s capable of beating any field.
As of Saturday night, Lowry was available at 90-1 on BetFred. He’s around 50-1 everywhere else, with DraftKings having the best number at 55-1. I’d obviously recommend shopping around before locking in a bet on Lowry, but he ranked in the top 10 of my projections for this week.
If Lowry can pair up his current form with his recent upward trend at Augusta, this is a fair number.