2022 Masters Odds, Picks, Predictions: Tiger Woods, Jordan Spieth, Brooks Koepka, 5 More Expert Bets

Hello, friends.

We’ve made it to Augusta National, where the 2022 Masters will take place with more buzz than recent years.

Not only is Tiger Woods looking likely to make an unexpected comeback, but golf is at a great place right now. There are at least a dozen players who have a legitimate shout to be the pick for this week. Jon Rahm tops the odds board, followed by Justin Thomas, Cameron Smith and many more of the game’s elite talent.

Our team of golf betting analysts have scoured the odds board and found their favorite picks. Check them out below, and enjoy the golf.

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2022 Masters Picks, Predictions

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Russell Henley — Top 20 (+100)

Jason Sobel: At its core, Augusta National is a second-shot golf course. Always has been and — until the day it gets stretched out to 8,000-plus yards, which might not be such a ridiculous notion — always will be.

It’s difficult to suggest that Henley is the game’s preeminent iron player, as any vote on such a title would go to Collin Morikawa or Justin Thomas or Will Zalatoris or, if the voter is feeling extra contrarian and Canadian, Corey Conners.

Statistics don’t vote, though, and the statistics tell us that Henley has been the game’s best iron player. Officially, he leads the PGA TOUR in strokes gained on approach shots this season. Unofficially, he’s probably the player who’s gotten the least out of the most over the past year-and-a-half.

To use an analogy from another sport, Henley is like the MLB starting pitcher who owns a 7-12 win-loss record with a 2.73 ERA. In those circumstances, the number-crunchers will often use the oxymoronic expression “positive regression” to portend future results for such a performer.

I don’t doubt that Henley is ready to enjoy a little positive regression of his own, as those eye-popping ball-striking stats have led to zero missed cuts since last year’s Open Championship, but just three top-10 finishes and a couple of heartbreakers, like the Wyndham Championship, where he led for most of the way, missed a short putt on the final hole, lost by one stroke and still only finished T7 because six other players reached the playoff.

It’s that kind of bad luck in unfortunate moments that has plagued Henley during this stretch, but we should firmly believe that if he continues hitting his irons better than everyone else, it’s going to pay off in dividends. On a second-shot golf course, that could start happening this week.

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Jordan Spieth +2200

Chris Murphy: I’m going back to the well here with Jordan Spieth. The result last week at the Valero Texas Open was disappointing, but the underlying numbers are too much to ignore going into a course that he has flatly dominated at his best.

Spieth gained more than 8.5 shots on the field at TPC San Antonio with his ball striking, which is a remarkable number and positive sign for a player that has struggled at times in that category. He was absolutely dialed in on approach, gaining more than six shots on the field. Unfortunately, the putter let him down last week, but I simply don’t worry about the short game with Spieth as he can find it in a big way, in a hurry.

Even as the number is a bit short for a player that hasn’t been at the peak of his game, he is one that always shows up around Augusta National and seems to have a quiet confidence about where his play is leading into the week. I’ll take the experience and upward trend of Spieth this week in a spot where I expect him to be right there for a chance at his second green jacket down the back stretch on Sunday.

Viktor Hovland +2000

Matt Vincenzi: Let’s get this out of the way: Viktor Hovland has a major weakness in his game, and it’s a weakness that isn’t conducive to success at Augusta National. His around the green game needs serious work, and the tight run-off areas here will be a real challenge for him.

While acknowledging the seemingly only flaw in his game, we must also acknowledge how good he is otherwise. The 24-year-old is an all world talent who does everything else required to contend at Augusta. In his last five starts, he’s gaining an average of 4.4 strokes on approach, which is always the most important factor here. He’s long and straight off the tee and can ball strike his way into contention.

Hovland has accomplished a great deal in a short amount of time as a professional, but lacks a signature win. We’ve seen younger players accomplish much more than we thought possible in years past. I’m willing to overlook the short game flaws in hopes that his prodigious talent will outweigh his potential fatal flaw.

Brooks Koepka +2000

Landon Silinsky: It's officially #majorszn, which means it's time to fire up Brooks Koepka.

Here are his results in majors, dating back to 2016: T6, T4, T2, MC (recovering from knee surgery,) T7, T4, 2nd, 1st, T2  1st, T39, 1st, T13, T6, 1st, T11, T4, T13, T21.

What an absolutely ridiculous display. We can throw models and numbers out the window when it comes to Brooks at Majors. The man is an Alpha and simply finds a gear that no one else can get to when the lights get bright.

Koepka enters this week healthy and in good form, having posted a T5 at the Match Play, T12 at Valspar, T16 at Honda and T3 at the Phoenix Open. He is absolutely ready to claim his fifth major title this week and first green jacket.

Tiger Woods to make the cut (+120) | Stewart Cink — Top 10 (+2500)

Derek Farnsworth: I usually have a tough time narrowing down my list of selections for an event, but I feel lost at the top of the board. You can make a strong case for 15 golfers to win The Masters this year. While I still plan to make a few outright bets, I have more conviction in these two bets.

Call me a fish and call me a Tiger homer if you like, but I am placing a large wager on the GOAT to make the cut at positive odds. Fred Couples says Tiger looks phenomenal and that he was bombing it off the tee in their practice round on Monday. We know he’s magical on and around the greens, and he knows when to attack and when to stay patient. I’m sipping the Kool-Aid and can’t wait to see him in red and black on Sunday.

Cink is more of a value play than anything. If they played this event 25 times under the exact same circumstances, I would expect Cink to finish in the top 10 more than once. Even though he’s getting up there in age, he’s 12th in this field in driving distance in 2022. He’s coming off of his best finish of the season (T7 at Valspar), he’s good with his long irons, and he’s a positive putter on bentgrass. In his last 13 Masters starts, he’s finished T20 or better seven times.

Viktor Hovland — Top 10, Cameron Smith — Top 20, Tommy Fleetwood — Top 30 and Kevin Na — Top 40 (+2600 at FanDuel)

Rob Bolton: Woohoo. Badds had the goods last week. I had him as a Sleeper at +1200 for a Top 20 in my preview material at PGATOUR.com, but his T18 at the Valero Texas Open also, and obviously, fulfilled my singular contribution here for a Top 40 at +360.

Onto the Masters where a kid can be a kid in a candy store again. The boards are glowing with all kinds of fun. No one should be disappointed.
Since it’d be cheating to circle a couple of dozen promises just to make the cut at the most predictable tournament of the year, let’s multiply that and assign targets.

Where available, this prop can be found in “Golf Specials 3” at FanDuel. All four have done enough to warrant the risk. Smith and Na are the freebies, so it comes down to Hovland and Fleetwood delivering.

Will Zalatoris +3500

Bryan Berryman: Debutantes aren’t supposed to have success in their first go around Augusta National. The course is littered with nuances that take dozens of rounds for even the best professionals to figure out. Zalatoris bucked that trend last year, with a second-place finish in his first ever Masters.

Coming into this week, Zalatoris ranks first in this field in Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green and eighth in Strokes Gained: Approach over the last 24 rounds. His average driving distance is 310 yards, which ties Dustin Johnson for 17th on the PGA TOUR. That will serve as a major advantage given the 7,510-yard setup.

Zalatoris’ only blemish is his putter, which has already cost him numerous wins in only his second year on the PGA TOUR. That is certainly a concern here, as Augusta National’s greens can be some of the toughest to read of any course these guys play all year.

However, Zalatoris’ skillset as a bomber off the tee, combined with his world-class iron game, is an ideal fit for Augusta National and will put him in contention to win this event for years to come. If he can find a way to be near the field average in Strokes Gained: Putting this week, I love his chances of sporting a green jacket on Sunday evening.

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