2022 RBC Heritage Odds, Picks: Kevin Kisner, Brian Harman Among 8 Outright Bets at Harbour Town
Ben Jared/PGA TOUR via Getty Images. Pictured: Kevin Kisner.
- The PGA TOUR is back after the Masters with the 2022 RBC Heritage.
- Harbour Town presents a unique challenge this week, so Joshua Perry is looking for players who can handle it.
- Check out Perry's eight outright betting picks for this week in Hilton Head below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 RBC Heritage odds via PointsBet
2022 RBC Heritage Odds
|Si Woo Kim||+4000|
|Harold Varner III||+5000|
|Mito Guillermo Pereira||+7000|
|Charles Howell III||+8000|
|J. J. Spaun||+9000|
|Erik Van Rooyen||+10000|
|Andrew D. Putnam||+30000|
|Davis Love III||+50000|
The No. 1 player in the world continued his heater with a quite comfortable win at Augusta.
Scottie Scheffler has now played in seven majors since gaining his PGA TOUR card and his worst finish is 19th, so he’s probably going to be hanging around on these major leaderboards for the foreseeable future.
Now we turn our attention to one of the more enjoyable betting events on the calendar, the RBC Heritage. Harbour Town negates distance as much as anywhere and couple that with all the stars primed for a letdown following The Masters and we usually can find some decent value here.
The Pete Dye-designed Harbour Town is a par-71 checking in at around 7,100 yards. It has the smallest greens on TOUR, so iron play will be even more important than usual. But even the best iron players will struggle at times so scrambling also plays a bigger role than the standard TOUR stop.
Wind is one of the primary defenses at this seaside South Carolina course, so you can expect some pretty difficult scoring conditions if things get blustery.
Stewart Cink, Jim Furyk and Boo Weekley have won here multiple times, while players like Webb Simpson, Matt Kuchar and Brandt Snedeker have also notched a victory. None are really known for distance, but all have been elite iron players or scramblers during the time of their title.
As of now, we’ve got a pretty strong field for this event. We’ll see how many of them actually show up after a grueling Masters week.
Justin Thomas opens as the favorite at +1200 off a top-10 finish at the Masters, he was eighth in his last appearance here in 2020. It’s a course that will play to his strengths on approach. The driver let him down at Augusta, but with that not near as much of a concern here, the rest of the game is set to contend.
Collin Morikawa and Cameron Smith are next at +1400, two more guys who are fresh off strong weeks at a major. That means it’ll comes down here to where they are mentally. Either withdrawing wouldn’t surprise me since both are also set to play in the team event in New Orleans next week, with Smith set to defend there.
Dustin Johnson comes is at +1600. He’s been a regular in his home state’s event for the past five years now. He’s never really contended, but he never really plays poorly. He doesn’t have a top 10 in the past four years but also has no finish worse than 30th either.
Patrick Cantlay is here at +1800 and another guy I wouldn’t be surprised to see withdraw since he’s set for the team event, as well. Cantlay is the first guy of the bunch who really never looked good at the Masters, eventually finishing 39th. He’s played really well here however with a couple of third place finishes in his four starts.
Matthew Fitzpatrick, Shane Lowry, Daniel Berger, Webb Simpson and Corey Conners all make up that +2000s tier and all should be good fits for this place. Webb won it two years ago. Fitzpatrick has said multiple times this is his favorite spot on TOUR. Lowry is in form and has two top 10s in the last three years. Berger was third in 2020, and Conners was fourth last year.
The books have given us a lot of options with how strong this field is. Many of our favorite types of players have come in with reasonable odds.
I’ll start with Kevin Kisner at +5500 on DraftKings. Kisner has said there are spots where he can contend and spots where he can’t. This is one of the events he can win. He lost in a playoff to Furyk here in 2015 and was in contention again in 2018 before sliding on Sunday. The form is solid right now. He reached the match play final and was fourth at the PLAYERS on other Pete Dye courses. His approach was in good shape after the week at Augusta as well where he gained over a stroke per round on that field.
We’ll also take Kevin Na here at +5500 on BetRivers. Na will be a very popular play off a strong week at Augusta. He looked solid at match play and was good on approach last week. His history here is checked but he does have three top 10s in the last 10 years, so when he’s playing well, it’s been a good spot for him.
We’ll also go here with Si Woo Kim at +6500 on DraftKings. Si Woo has played well before here. He looked like he’d come out on top in 2018, but the putter failed him late and he lost to Satoshi Kodaira in a playoff. The form has been solid all year and he’s been racking up top 20 finishes.
I’ll go with Adam Hadwin here at +6600 on BetRivers. Hadwin is more of form play. I think he should fit this course but in six years, he’s never recorded a top 20. He’s playing great at the moment though with three straight top 10s, so I’ll take a chance at this number his form continues.
I’m also backing Mito Pereira here at +9000 on PointsBet. He’s been trending well the past few weeks. He’s finished in the top 30 in four of his last five starts. The ball striking has been solid for the most part and the short game has shown glimpse of improvement recently. It’s his debut here, but that hasn’t slowed down players in the past. Kodaira and Wes Bryan both won in their first appearance during the past few seasons.
I’ll start here with Brian Harman at 100-1 on DraftKings. He’s been playing well and has a decent record here for success. He missed the cut on the number at Augusta on a course that doesn’t suit him at all. But prior to that, he’d been inside the top 15 in three of his last seven starts. He’s also finished inside the top 10 here on a couple of occasions and was 13th a year ago.
I’ll go with one of my usuals here in Davis Riley at 175-1 on PointsBet. Riley was in the Valspar playoff recently and as we saw there, he gets in the most trouble when he completely sprays the driver and brings a big number into play. This course forces a more conservative approach off the tee which could line up with his strengths.
I’m also going with Takumi Kanaya here at 250-1 on FanDuel. Kanaya missed the cut on the number at Augusta, but did gain ground with the irons that week. He also played well enough at another Pete Dye course in Austin to get out of his match play group. This course is similar in ways to what players are used to seeing in Japan. It’s shorter and tight with the emphasis on precision over power. It suited Kodaira’s eye, and Kanaya is a bigger talent who already has three wins over there at the age of 23.
It’s a much deeper card than normal this week because of the comfort we have on this course. It produces the same type of winners each year and we’re getting a lot of guys that fit that mold and solid prices with so many big names scheduled to appear.
The RBC Heritage Card
- Kevin Kisner +5500 (.6 units)
- Kevin Na +5500 (.47 units)
- Si Woo Kim +6500 (.5 units)
- Adam Hadwin +6600 (.5 units)
- Mito Pereira +9000 (.36 units)
- Brian Harman +10000 (.33 units)
- Davis Riley +18000 (.17 units)
- Takumi Kanaya +25000 (.13 units)
Total Stake: 3.06 units