THE CJ CUP 2022 Odds & Expert Picks: 7 Best Bets for Jordan Spieth, Jason Day, Matt Fitzpatrick & More
Sam Greenwood/Getty Images. Pictured: Jordan Spieth.
- THE CJ CUP is shaping up to be the most exciting event of the PGA TOUR's fall schedule with a stacked field.
- Our analysts have found seven best bets for the tournament, including outright picks and matchups.
- Check out their best bets and analysis below.
Click arrow to expand 2022 THE CJ CUP odds via BetMGM
|Si Woo Kim||+8000|
|Byeong Hun An||+15000|
The PGA TOUR continues its fall swing in South Carolina as Congaree Golf Club hosts THE CJ CUP for the first time. This event was originally planned to be a more convenient stop in South Korea after the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP in Japan, but the TOUR has not returned to South Korea since the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic. This is the fourth consecutive year THE CJ CUP has been played at a different venue, with the last two tournaments in Las Vegas.
Congaree Golf Club hosted the 2021 Palmetto Championship as another fill-in stop on TOUR when the Canadian Open was cancelled due to the ongoing pandemic. The course played tough that week as Garrick Higgo won at -11, but there is a much more star-studded field this week with 15 of the top 20 players in the world teeing it up in Ridgeland, SC.
Our GolfBet analysts have scoured the odds boards and put together their seven best bets for you to take advantage of. Check out their picks and analysis below.
Sobel: Jordan Spieth +3000 (BetRivers)
Jason Sobel: Two weeks after the Presidents Cup, the International team’s most dynamic young star, Tom Kim, parlayed that momentum into his second career win at the age of 20. It can be argued whether Jordan Spieth was the U.S. side’s best player at Quail Hollow, but we can’t debate the record, as he became just the sixth player to post a 5-0-0 record in the history of the competition.
Perhaps momentum doesn’t carry a full month later, but we’ve got to believe he’ll still have some good vibes left over from that week. That’s the narrative play for Spieth this week, but there’s a technical reason for backing him, as well.
On a fast, firm course which requires creativity with wedge shots, I like the idea of playing one of the game’s preeminent wedge artists here. It’ll be imperative for players to think their way around this track, which plays into the capable hands of Spieth, who thrives in a challenging environment such as this.
Then there’s the reason which is part narrative and part technical. Spieth’s most recent win came at the RBC Heritage, also in South Carolina, earlier this year. They’re certainly not exact replicas of each other, but if there’s a corollary course for Congaree, then it might be Harbour Town. Put all of these things together, and there’s plenty of reason to think Spieth can pull off a Kim and parlay that Presidents Cup energy into another title.
Jason Day +8000 (DraftKings)
Matt Vincenzi: Last week at the ZOZO, we saw a former superstar in Rickie Fowler thrust into the spotlight after claiming the 54-hole lead in Japan. This week, I envision a similar scenario potentially unfolding with Jason Day.
It’s been a tough stretch for the former PGA Championship winner both on and off the golf course the past few years. However, things seem to finally be settling down for the Australian.
He seems healthy for the first time in a while, and his on-course results are encouraging. In his most recent start at the Shriners Children’s Open, Day finished in eighth place and gained 9.4 strokes ball striking, which led the field. He also shot a 63 on his closing round, which was the best round of the day on Sunday.
If he’s right, Congaree Golf Club should be an incredible fit for Day. He’s been one of the best players on TOUR on Tom Fazio designs throughout his career and ranks second in the field in his past 24 rounds on those courses. A Jason Day resurgence would be a welcome site at THE CJ CUP.
Tommy Fleetwood -110 over Adam Hadwin (DraftKings)
Spencer Aguiar: These no-cut events give us a weird outlook on head-to-head wagers since the typical viewpoint I take of finding missed-cut equity has to be replaced with an upside stance to account for golfers getting a guaranteed four days of action.
In reality, I do think we lose a portion of our built-in edge since projecting poor play has always been a better path of success for me than trying to find upside totals, but we will make the most of the card in front of us and go with Tommy Fleetwood -110 over Adam Hadwin on DraftKings.
Hadwin is a golfer who grades in a basic sense across the board, sitting 36th overall on my model in a 78-man field, but it is the weighted proximity totals and weighted tee-to-green marks that move him swiftly down my board.
The Canadian is 19 spots lower than expected versus a random track when I try to mimic Congaree’s anticipated second-shot yardages, which works hand-in-hand to hurt the tee-to-green metrics and shift him from a two-year baseline projection that ranks 31st to his recalculated total of 46th at this venue.
While Fleetwood doesn’t have the safest profile of someone teeing it up this week, it is the upside metrics that caught my eye, moving him into a range that looks more in-tune with options in the 40/1 zone than it does as an 80/1 golfer who is priced next to similar targets.
My model believes -130 would have been a more accurate price for this matchup, and I will rely on Fleetwood’s shortgame prowess to get the job done this weekend.
Cameron Young +2800 (DraftKings)
Chris Murphy: The weekend wasn’t overly kind to Cameron Young at the ZOZO CHAMPIONSHIP where he lost ground as he struggled in Round 3 and only posted an even par final round on Sunday. This was his first tournament of the new season after only appearing at the President’s Cup before it, and I’m going to give him a pass as he got the rust off.
When I add in that this course seems tailor-made for his game and is on his preferred bermudagrass surfaces, he jumps to the top of my list going into the week. I’m hopeful his finish last week provides us with a bit of a discount, as I expect he may contend for his first win this week.
Matt Fitzpatrick +2400 (FanDuel)
Derek Farnsworth: If Fitzy would have played better at last week’s Andalucia Masters, I suspect his odds would be a lot lower for this week. He got off to a slow start and ultimately missed the cut on the number. Prior to that, he finished T22 at the Alfred Dunhill Links Championship and second at the Italian Open.
The fact that he’s been active during the fall should be viewed as nothing but a positive, and Congaree Golf Club seems like a great course for the U.S. Open champion. He has gained some serious length off the tee over the last year and is actually top 15 in this field in distance.
He has an immaculate short game and is capable of gaining a handful of strokes both on and around the greens. He tends to play difficult courses well, and Congaree played as the 12th toughest on TOUR last season (Palmetto Championship). Fitzy played in that event and finished in a tie for 10th.
Viktor Hovland +2800 (DraftKings)
Landon Silinsky: Hovland has really picked up his game lately, posting a pair of top-five finishes across his past three starts, including last week at the ZOZO where he shot all four rounds in the 60s. The field is incredibly strong this week, which is why we are getting players of Hovland’s caliber at 28/1.
Congaree is a massively long course, sitting at 7,655 yards. There are 12 additional courses that the PGA TOUR has played over the past few years that measure over 7,500 yards, and Hovland ranks eighth in this field in Total Strokes Gained per round on those courses.
Despite not being the longest hitter, it’s the Norwegian’s prowess with his long irons that allows him to compete with all these heavy hitters at tracks like Congaree. He ranked third on TOUR last season in proximity on approaches from 175-200 yards, behind only Scottie Scheffler and Tom Hoge. I will not be betting against him this week.
Rory McIlroy to Finish Top 5, Scottie Scheffler to Finish Top 10 and Sungjae Im to Finish Top 20 Parlay +1200 (FanDuel)
Rob Bolton: If by the ninth time (or whatever it’s been) you don’t succeed, try again? Duh!
Dry or otherwise, my well is Golf Specials 3 at FanDuel. Although I keep going back to it – it’s so much fun – I’ve compromised for the parlay with the shortest odds this time, and it’s still kicking back 12 times the investment.
I really love each of these targets, so they should sell themselves. However, with Sungjae Im failing to square up regularly at Narashino (where he backdoored a T29), it’s understandable why he deserves hesitation, but it’s just a blip among three months of one leaderboard appearance after another.