Astros vs. Nationals World Series Game 3 Betting Picks, Odds & Predictions: Will Houston Avoid a 3-0 Hole?


Noah K. Murray, USA Today sports. Pictured: Zack Greinke

Oct 25, 2019, 06:30 PM EDT
  • Updated odds for World Series Game 3 have the Astros as -160 favorites and the Nationals +135 underdogs.
  • Sean Zerillo breaks down every facet of the game below, and offers his take as to which bets hold value.

Astros vs. Nationals Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions for World Series Game 3

Probable starters: Zack Greinke (18-5, 2.93 ERA) vs. Anibal Sanchez (11-8, 3.85 ERA)

  • Astros odds: -134
  • Nationals odds: +124
  • Over/Under: 8
  • First pitch: 8:07 p.m. ET on FOX

Odds as of Wednesday and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

After coming within a few outs of elimination against Josh Hader and the Brewers in the NL Wild Card game, the Nationals are now two wins away from their first World Series championship.

They have already upset Gerrit Cole and Justin Verlander on the road and now have the chance to clinch, in front of a raucous home crowd, against Zack Greinke and the Astros bullpen in Games 3 and 4.

To keep their World Series hopes alive, the Astros need to win four out of five games in six days, including two out of three road games to send this series back to Houston.

Can Zack Greinke, who has allowed 15 hits and 10 runs over 14 postseason innings, right the ship for the Astros (and himself) in Game 3?

Or will Anibal Sanchez, who has allowed one run between his two postseason starts, continue to serve as an effective change of pace to the Nationals’ power strikeout arms?

The Starters

The most significant benefit of the Astros using Zack Greinke in a road start for Game 3? Houston gets a de facto DH out of the No. 9 spot in their lineup, as Greinke led all pitchers with three homers and eight extra-base hits this season – despite playing in the AL for two months.

He now has nine career home runs.

Greinke has also recorded 16 strikeouts over 14 innings in these playoffs but didn’t have his best command against the Yankees – permitting three first-inning walks for the first time since 2007.

For a pitcher who posted the third-best walk rate in MLB this season, it was a real shocker.

Conversely, Anibal Sanchez has looked almost unhittable in these playoffs after posting a 5.10 xFIP in the regular season – the seventh-worst mark amongst 61 qualified starters.

So why is Friday’s total so low?

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