World Series Game 6 Betting Picks, Odds & Predictions for Nationals vs. Astros: Bet on Strasburg vs. Verlander?


Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Stephen Strasburg

Oct 29, 2019, 07:20 PM EDT
  • Who should you be betting on in Tuesday's World Series Game 6 between the Washington Nationals and Houston Astros?
  • We breakdown the updated betting odds and give our favorite picks as Stephen Strasburg takes on Justin Verlander in Houston.

World Series Game 6 Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions: Astros vs. Nationals

Probable starters: Stephen Strasburg (18-6, 3.32 ERA) vs. Justin Verlander (21-6, 2.58 ERA)

  • Nationals odds: +155
  • Astros odds: -185
  • Over/Under: 7.5
  • First pitch: 8:07 p.m. ET on FOX

Odds as of Thursday morning and via PointsBet, where Action Network users get an exclusive 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).

Game 6 of the World Series creates a unique learning experience that only exists in playoff series, with the opportunity to assess how the betting market responds to an almost exact rematch.

The closing odds from Game 2 represent a perfect point of comparison to see how the market has adjusted since last Wednesday when the Nats scored 12 runs off Justin Verlander and the Astros bullpen.

Despite scoring one run in three consecutive games in Washington, oddsmakers have tightened the Game 6 line compared to the closing line from Game 2, which had the Astros as a -179 (implied 64.2%) favorite and the Nats listed as a +164 (implied 37.9%) underdog.

At listed odds of +155 for Game 6, oddsmakers suggest that Washington’s chances are 1.3% better they were for Game 2. And while there is still some line value on the Nats, there is certainly much less value in playing their moneyline now than there was earlier in this World Series.

Let’s see if we can find a derivative way to bet on the Nationals that still represents actionable value, as Stephen Strasburg looks to pull another upset to force a Game 7 in Houston.

The Starters

Get the EDGE

Unlock The Action EDGE

Become an Action EDGE member to see a full betting breakdown of Nationals-Astros and Sean's favorite bets.

Get the EDGE
model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
Follow Sean Zerillo on Twitter