Astros vs. Rangers Betting Odds, Preview: Value on the High Over/Under?

Jul 11, 2019 11:00 AM EDT

Photo credit: Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Lance Lynn

Thursday Night Baseball Betting Odds: Houston Astros at Texas Rangers

  • Astros odds: -129
  • Rangers odds: +119
  • Over/Under: 10.5
  • Probable starters: Framber Valdez (3-4, 4.57 ERA) vs. Lance Lynn (11-4, 3.91 ERA)
  • First pitch: 8:05 p.m. ET on ESPN

Starting Pitchers

Houston Astros: Framber Valdez was roughed up for 11 runs over a combined 6.1 innings in his last two MLB starts on June 20 and June 26, so the Astros demoted the 25-year-old to Triple-A to right himself.

He responded with 10 strikeouts over 6.2 shutout innings in a win on July 1 and struck out another seven batters in three innings on July 6.

Standing 5-foot-11 and weighing 170 pounds, Valdez is short and stocky for an MLB starter, but he owns big velocity for a lefty (touches 96 mph) and generates groundballs and whiffs in abundance with the heavy sink on his two-seam fastball and his high-spin, late-breaking curveball:

That said, Valdez doesn’t have much beyond his four-seam fastball, two-seamer and curveball, as he uses his still-developing changeup less than 4% of the time.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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