Polish heavyweight Marcin Tybura may be quietly moving his way up the UFC’s heavyweight ranks, but he finds himself outgunned in every department in Sydney this weekend.

Tybura takes on Brazilian No. 1 contender Fabricio Werdum, a former UFC heavyweight champion and one of the most dangerous big men in the UFC.

Tybura has a record of 16-2, with 13 of those wins coming inside the distance. But despite his solid resume, the 32-year-old Pole finds himself on the wrong end of the argument in all aspects of this contest.


© Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

With seven KOs on his record, Tybura’s striking is pretty good, but Werdum’s striking has improved immeasurably under the tutelage of esteemed coach Rafael Cordeiro. He has six KOs to his name, but against higher-grade opposition.

And while Tybura has six submission victories on his resume, Werdum is widely considered to be the best grappler to ever compete in the UFC’s heavyweight division.

The Brazilian also holds the edge when it comes to the longer five-round duration of main event competition.


© Kyle Terada-USA TODAY Sports

In short, it’s hard to see anything other than a Werdum win on Saturday in Australia.

The Brazilian is virtually unbackable in the match odds, however, being priced at -321, but the smart bet is for the former Brazilian jiu-jitsu world champion to earn a stoppage victory via submission. That’s available at +170, while the KO/TKO finish is even more attractively priced at +479.

Key Odds

  • Werdum to win by submission: +170
  • Werdum to win by KO/TKO: +479

[Main image credit: © Joshua Dahl-USA TODAY Sports]


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