Broncos-49ers Total Draws Public, Sharps Interest on Same Side
Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: 49ers Head Coach Kyle Shanahan.
San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos Betting Odds
- Spread: Broncos -1
- Over/Under: 40
- Kickoff: 8 p.m. ET
- Television: ESPN
Monday Night Football is (sort of) here! It’s Monday and there’s NFL football on TV, which means bettors are getting down hard whether it’s an exhibition or not.
Sounds like Monday Night Football to me.
Though it probably won’t get the TV ratings that a normal MNF game would, we’ve seen plenty of betting action so far, including a good deal over the past 24 hours.
First off, let me touch on the spread.
Since yesterday afternoon, the Broncos have fallen from -2.5 to -1.
We did not track any bet signals, though, which means that there wasn’t one particular wave of sharp action that swung the market toward San Fran. In fact, we just tracked a steam move on the Broncos at -1, so we could see sharps buy that number back up toward the key number of -3.
Both Jimmy Garoppolo and Joe Flacco are expected to play, but it remains unclear just how much time they’ll see. Based on comments from their respective coaches, it doesn’t sound like either will see a ton of time.
The real reason I took out my quill and inkwell to pen this article is the over/under. It’s been much adored by many bettors of all shapes and sizes.
After opening at 42.5, an early steam move knocked it down to 42. Keep in mind that over/unders opened significantly higher on average this week than they did last week with the assumption starters would be getting more playing time. Thus far, unders have gone 9-6 on the week.
After several days of inactivity, another steam move struck the under last night followed by another this morning. With those three steam moves on the under and no signs of buyback yet on the over, this total is all the way down to 40/40.5 across the market.
As I said in the headline, this isn’t a pros/joes split as we do occasionally see.
Two-thirds of over/under tickets and an accompanying three-quarters of the cash are on this under. Combine that with the multiple bet signals and it’s easy to see why books have been force to drop this total multiple points.
It’s likely meaningless and is something that would never cause me to place a bet given the tiny sample size, but perhaps the public is drawn to this under because these teams are a combined 3-0 to the under this preseason.
That’s honestly just absolute noise in my mind, but (guy shrugging emoji) people place bets for all sorts of reasons.
Sharp Angle: Under (Moved from 42.5 to 40)