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NFL Betting Tip: The Optimal Strategy for Maximizing Super Bowl Futures Profit

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Photo by Scott Taetsch/Getty Images. Pictured: Baltimore Ravens head coach John Harbaugh

  • The Baltimore Ravens have value to win Super Bowl 54 according to The Action Network's NFL simulations.
  • Learn the optimal strategy for maximing profit when betting Super Bowl futures.

The NFL regular season is in the books. The road to Super Bowl 54 begins Saturday, meaning bettors are running out of time to place championship future wagers.

To help, The Action Network simulated the NFL playoffs 10,000 times using player and team statistics adjusted for strength of schedule to determine the most likely champion:

The model and the betting market agree that the most likely Super Bowl winner is the Baltimore. Oddsmakers at PointsBet list Lamar Jackson & Co. as +210 favorites.


Odds as of Jan. 1 at 9 a.m. ET and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150). No strings attached. No rollover required.


The implied probability of John Harbaugh’s team being crowned champs based on +210 odds is 32.3%. According to our simulations, the Ravens have a 35.3% chance of winning the Super Bowl.

Super Bowl 54 Betting Strategy: Baltimore Ravens

The Ravens have the best record (14-2) and point differential in football (+249). Baltimore is the only team that ranks in the top five in offensive and defensive DVOA. Sometimes the obvious answer is the correct answer.

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