NFL Betting System: Find Value in NFL Preseason Week 3 Over/Unders

Aug 23, 2019 10:00 PM EDT

Jim Dedmon-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: New England Patriots quarterback Tom Brady

  • Week 3 of the NFL preaseason is considered a "dress rehearsal" for the regular season.
  • With starters expected to play meaningful snaps, we explain how bettors can find over/under value in these matchups.

Most NFL fans ignore the preseason until Week 3. In the third exhibition game many starters will play the entire first half and even into the third quarter. This will be the closest we get to meaningful football until the regular season kicks off.

This makes for great viewing but is bad for bettors. The strategies that we’ve used to profit off these preseason matchups, such as betting underdogs, following reverse line movement and wagering on overs in low-total games, don’t work in Week 3.

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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