NFL Preseason Betting Tip: Profit by Following Reverse Line Movement

Aug 17, 2019 08:30 PM EDT
Credit:

Dennis Schneidler-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: T.J. Jones

  • Reverse line movement is when the betting line moves in the opposite direction of the betting percentages.
  • Using Bet Labs, we analyze if following reverse line movement is a smart strategy in the NFL preseason.

NFL preseason games can be difficult to handicap with players and coaches have varying levels of motivation. However, there is a simple strategy that bettors can follow to profit on these televised scrimmages.

Lines for these exhibition games move a lot. In Week 1 of the 2019 preseason all 16 games saw the spread change by at least a half point. Most of this movement is driven by sharp money, which is perhaps why there is still value in chasing lines after they’ve moved.