NFL Preseason Sharp Report: Pros Betting Eagles-Jaguars, Packers-Ravens Over/Unders
Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Aaron Rodgers.
- Using the Action Network's betting tools, we've analyzed how sharp bettors are playing Eagles-Jaguars (7 p.m. ET) and Packers-Ravens (7:30).
Philadelphia Eagles @ Jacksonville Jaguars
7 p.m. ET
- Spread: Jaguars -3
- Over/Under: 34.5
Are you ready to see Nick Foles get his revenge on the Eagles? Well, you’re probably going to have to wait because he’s unlikely to play this week. Same goes for Carson Wentz. And you wonder why bettors enjoy these games more than casual fans …
Over/unders are up league-wide this week compared to Week 1, as we should see more playing time from starters in most games. Last week (and in the Hall of Fame Game), totals ranged from 31 to 38, with overs going 9-7-1.
This week, totals currently range from 34.5 to 46.5. The 34.5, as you may have noticed at the top of the article, belongs to this game.
It did not open up this low, but this article is called the sharp report for a reason. After opening at 38 and actually rising to 39 in the early going, this total has been hammered down by more than four points. Five bet signals have come in on the under, including the initial one at 39 and the most recent one at 35.5.
This is not a pros-vs.-Joes affair, however, as the public has taken a liking to this under, too. Right around 60% of tickets are on the under, but given the multiple waves of sharp action, it’s not surprising to see that the money is up closer to 90%.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 39 to 34.5)
Green Bay Packers @ Baltimore Ravens
7:30 p.m. ET
- Spread: Ravens -4
- Over/Under: 37
The second-lowest over/under of the week — and only other total below 40 — is this one between the Packers and Ravens. I know how everyone loves really low preseason over/unders, and as a man of the people, I’m writing about both of ’em.
While we’re expected to see loads of Cody Kessler and Gardner Minshew in the Eagles-Jags game, this affair should boast some familiar faces. Aaron Rodgers and the Packers’ starters are expected to play around one quarter, while Lamar Jackson will be playing approximately three series for Baltimore.
Even though we’ll see something close to actual regular season action for the first quarter or so of this game, sharp bettors have hit this under hard, too.
After holding at 40 for the first couple hours after opening, a steam move struck the under — one of three we’ve tracked thus far.
Given the Ravens’ strong defense last year and shutout of the Jaguars last week, it’s not too shocking that this under also has the attention of the majority of bettors. The tickets here are also split 60-40 in favor of the under, but the money is not quite as lopsided as the first game, with this under seeing 75% of the cash.
With both these totals having already dropped multiple points since opening, you are probably wondering whether it’s still a good idea or not to hop on. Per Bet Labs, unders in preseason games that have dropped at least two points since opening are still 45-37-2 (54.9%) based on the closing total.
As always, hats off to you if you beat the closing number — something winning bettors tend to do in the long run.
Sharp angle: Under (moved from 40 to 37)