On what looks to be a very quiet day in the sports betting world, bettors are stuck getting down on over/unders in an NHL conference semifinal matchup.
In all seriousness, this matchup isn't drawing the same handle that it might on a day that didn't include the most exciting two minutes in sports, a Jacobs-Alvarez bout and a primetime Warriors-Rockets Game 3. But that doesn't mean it's not offering value — at least according to sharp bettors.
To this point, no game in the series has seen more than five goals. But as has been the case in each of the previous four games, this total is listed at 5.5, and most bettors seem to think we're due for six tonight as 55% of bets are on the over.
But all signs point to sharp action on the other side.
For starters, the 45% of bets on the under have generated an impressive 77% of money being wagered on the total. Not only does that create a liability on the under, it also means that bigger bets — the ones more likely to be made by sharps — are among that 45%.
Sports Insights' Bet Signals have confirmed the professional action, triggering two moves on the under that caused market-wide line movement away from the popular side.
After opening at 5.5 (-110), the under has been juiced up to -130 as a result of the wiseguy activity. If more smart money pours in, don't be surprised to see some shops fall to a flat 5 by puck drop.
