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Tiger vs. Phil Expert Picks: How to Bet ‘The Match’

Nov 23, 2018 12:00 AM EST
  • Tiger Woods is currently a -190 favorite to beat Phil Mickelson (+165) in their head-to-head match on Nov. 23 (3 p.m. ET on PPV).
  • Our golf experts detail their eight favorite bets for "The Match," including some plus-money props and a pick on the ultimate winner of the $9 million prize.

Tiger vs. Phil has been hyped as a match made in heaven for bettors, and judging by the six-figure side action already thrown around by the two legends — and the number of different prop bets posted around the betting market — it certainly hasn’t disappointed.

True to form, our golf experts will have plenty of action on “The Match.” Here are their favorite wagers of the bunch.

All odds as of 10:30 a.m. ET on Wednesday morning.

Drew “Sleeze” Stoltz: Under 21.5 cuss words (-115)

Let’s be honest: Tiger and Phil are doing their best to stir the pot with some competitive banter leading up to this match, but their “24/7” episode on HBO was about as far from “Mayweather/McGregor” as they normally are from the fairway.

While we all know Tiger isn’t afraid to let a few “F-bombs” slip when he isn’t mic’d up, he’s not going to be letting them fly when he knows the entire sports world is listening to every word he says. If he didn’t use any profanity in the 24/7 episode, don’t expect much in the match itself.

As far as Phil goes, I can’t ever remember him being caught cussing on camera. I don’t think he’s going to use this event as a coming out party, especially when every prop bet involves a charity of some sort.

Can you imagine him losing a closest to the pin contest and saying, “S—! I don’t want to help save the whales!” Me either, although that would be awesome.

My guess is they both throw a few harmless four letter words out there early on to give it a behind-the-scenes vibe, but the two biggest brands in golf are too smart to go overboard with it.

Hammer the under, God damnit.

Justin Bailey: Phil Mickelson misses the fairway on hole No. 1 (+135)

There isn’t any value on betting Phil to hit the fairway (-165), so throwing out a bet on him missing at +135 sounds like the optimal play. Mickelson isn’t known for his accuracy, hitting just 52.9% of fairways over his past 90 rounds, which ranks 189th of 193 qualifying golfers. Additionally, over his past four rounds, he’s hit just 41.1% of fairways, ranking T-291 of 295 golfers.