Auburn-Georgia Betting Guide: How Good Is Bulldogs’ Offense?

Nov 10, 2018 8:48 AM EST

Auburn-Georgia Betting Odds, Pick

  • Spread: Georgia -14
  • Over/Under: 52.5
  • Time: 7 p.m. ET
  • TV: ESPN

>> All odds as of Friday afternoon. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.


Since these two teams met in the SEC Championship Game last season — a blowout win by Georgia — they’ve headed in complete opposite directions.

The Bulldogs were inches away from winning a national title against Alabama and are firmly in the College Football Playoff discussion again, while Auburn lost to UCF in the Peach Bowl and has struggled to find its offensive identity throughout 2018.

This is a tough spot for Georgia, though, coming off an SEC East-clinching win over Kentucky. The Dawgs have College Football Playoff aspirations, so they may not look ahead, but it’s hard to get up for a third-straight game after beating divisional foes Florida and Kentucky.

Market Moves for Auburn-Georgia

By Danny Donahue

This line has been hovering around two touchdowns all week. After opening at -13.5 at Bookmaker, Georgia was quickly bet up to -14.5 — where it opened at Pinnacle. Since, Auburn money has brought the line back to -14, where it stands heading into Friday.

Georgia has received 63% of bets and 61% of dollars (Check updated betting data here).

As for the total, it’s risen thanks to some heavy betting on the over. Sixty-nine percent of bets accounting for 89% of dollars have moved the over/under from from 50 to 52.5 at most books.

Georgia’s Offense Is Back on Track

By Steve Petrella

After calls to go with true freshman Justin Field, Georgia quarterback Jake Fromm is more than back on track. I don’t think those calls were ever serious inside the program.

Fromm hasn’t had to do a ton as the ground game continues to thrive, but he’s thrown for 353 yards and four scores while completing 70% of his passes in the last two games against Florida and Kentucky.

Georgia’s offense ranks top 10 in both passing and rushing S&P+, and it’s only getting better.

Auburn’s Offense, Meanwhile…

By Steve Petrella

Gus Malzahn has won a lot of games and coached some great offenses at Auburn. But this year, he’s not playing to his strengths.

The Tigers were finally effective in their last two drives against Texas A&M last week when they played with pace and didn’t let the Aggies substitute. They played with four and five wide receivers and spread the field. Auburn went 129 total yards on 10 plays in two scoring drives.

Malzahn acknowledged this week how effective it was, but didn’t give any indication that will continue. My guess is it will, and Auburn will keep the Bulldogs defense on its twos.

As Evan and John detail in the trends below, Malzahn tends to do well on the road and when expectations aren’t high. I think we see that play out on Saturday.

Throw Our Your Metrics

By Ken Barkley

It’s Week 11, and this is the first time Auburn has been an underdog this season. That’s pretty amazing considering how disappointing the Tigers have been week to week. And not only are they underdogs, they’re getting 14! Such a weird spot.

That’s why…

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Credit:

Matthew Emmons-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Jake Fromm

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