The Ole Miss Rebels take on the Georgia Bulldogs in the Sugar Bowl and College Football Playoff quarterfinals in New Orleans on Thursday, Jan. 1. Kickoff is set for 8 p.m. ET on ESPN.
Georgia is favored by 6.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -245. Ole Miss, meanwhile, enters as a +6.5 underdog and is +200 on the moneyline to pull off the upset. The over/under sits at 55.5 total points.
Here’s my Ole Miss vs. Georgia prediction and college football picks for Thursday, January 1.
Ole Miss vs Georgia Prediction
- Ole Miss vs. Georgia Pick: Georgia Team Total Over 30.5
My Georgia vs. Ole Miss best bet is on the Bulldogs to go over their team total. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Ole Miss vs Georgia Odds
| Ole Miss Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+6.5 -110 | 55.5 -110o / -110u | +200 |
| Georgia Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-6.5 -110 | 55.5 -110o / -110u | -245 |
- Ole Miss vs Georgia Spread: Georgia -6.5, Ole Miss +6.5
- Ole Miss vs Georgia Over/Under: 55.5 Points
- Ole Miss vs Georgia Moneyline: Ole Miss +200, Georgia -245
Ole Miss vs Georgia College Football Playoff Preview
Ole Miss Rebels Betting Preview: Post-Kiffin Era Continues
Ole Miss' high-octane offense hasn't had any speed bumps in the post-Lane Kiffin world. The Rebels generated 65% of available yards and two-plus first downs on 8-of-12 offensive possessions against Tulane.
Offensive coordinator Charlie Weis Jr. called a large number of explosive plays, which saw 12 different players receive a target from quarterback Trinidad Chambliss.
TD REBELS !
QB Trinidad Chambliss transperce la défense de la Green Wave et Ole Miss prend déjà le large face à Tulane. 14-0.
📺 TNTpic.twitter.com/jcHsbLantF
— TBP College Football (@thebluepennant) December 20, 2025
Ole Miss has been a run-first team with running back Kewan Lacy, using two primary run concepts: inside zone and power. The Rebels haven't been the most explosive on the ground this season, but they've posted an explosive on one of every four attempts using power.
Chambliss continues to play flawless football under center with 22 big-time throws to just eight turnover-worthy plays.
New head coach Pete Golding continued to call the nickel defense and fared well in keeping Tulane out of the red zone in the first round. The Green Wave managed to get a single drive inside the Ole Miss 20-yard line, generating only a field goal.
The issues that have plagued the Ole Miss defense all season were tucked away against Tulane, but the Rebels remain outside the top 100 in Line Yards and rush explosives allowed.
The Georgia offense lit up Ole Miss in the first meeting this season, posting a 63% Success Rate on the ground with three explosives.
Georgia Bulldogs Betting Preview: Defense Stepping Up
Georgia has transformed on defense throughout the season, allowing 10 points or fewer in the past four games.
The Bulldogs struggled to create a pass rush for most of the season, but that may no longer be applicable.
Defensive coordinator Glenn Schumann sends one of the lowest amounts of blitz in FBS, but the Dawgs produced three sacks in recent games against Alabama and Texas.
Those numbers are backed by a high amount of quarterback harassment with a combined 54 pressures against the Crimson Tide and Longhorns.
There hasn't been one defensive player responsible for the boost in Havoc, as 17 different Bulldogs created a pressure against Alabama in the SEC Championship.
Georgia elects to run the ball on 59% of snaps behind the duo of quarterback Gunner Stockton and running back Nate Frazier.
Inside zone with an even split of attempts in 11 and 12 personnel is the bread and butter of the Georgia offense. Each version of the concept has produced a minimum 58% Success Rate.
Although, on the season, the Bulldogs ranked 86th in generating explosives.
Georgia has been nearly unstoppable in the red zone when it comes to generating six points. The Bulldogs rank second nationally in red-zone touchdown rate, as only five of their 40 scores have been worth three points.
Ole Miss vs Georgia Pick, Betting Analysis
Georgia took Ole Miss' best shot during the Week 8 game in Athens. The Rebels scored a touchdown on their first five offensive possessions of the game, leaving UGA's defensive staff searching for adjustments.
The Bulldogs caught a second wind on both sides of the ball and dominated the fourth quarter, 17-0, to seal the victory. Ole Miss' final three possessions of the game ended in two punts and a turnover on downs.
The biggest question is if the dynamics have changed with either team since Georgia's Week 8 victory.
Although Ole Miss didn't see a drop offensively with Kiffin no longer on the sidelines, there's reason to think Georgia's defense will be better this time around.
Not only are the Bulldogs generating more pressure on the quarterback, but the defense is the standard for tackling analytics. Georgia ranks first among all defenses in PFF tackling, with Sports Info Solutions placing the Bulldogs as the 18th-best unit in terms of broken tackles allowed.
Despite elusive running from Chambliss and Lacy all season, Georgia missed just eight tackles in the Week 8 victory over the Rebels.
Conversely, there may be no answers for Golding's defense in terms of stopping Georgia's run game. Even as Ole Miss keyed in on UGA's rushing attack, Stockton found a way to connect with tight end Lawson Luckie for three passing touchdowns.
Action Network's Betting Power Ratings call for a six-point win by Georgia, in line with the current market leading up to the Sugar Bowl.
There's an expectation that Ole Miss will come out firing, taking advantage of a Bulldogs team that has struggled in the scripted portion of games. Look to catch Georgia live on the moneyline or get a National Championship future down.
Ole Miss will struggle for four quarters to keep an elite red-zone rushing team out of the end zone. Georgia should advance to face the winner of Ohio State and Miami.
Pick: Georgia Team Total Over 30.5 · Georgia to Win National Championship (+600)
Ole Miss vs Georgia Betting Trends
