Penn State-Pitt Betting Guide: Nittany Lions Will Rebound

Sep 08, 2018 01:35 PM EDT

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Amani Oruwariye

Penn State-Pitt Betting Guide

  • Odds: Penn State -8.5
  • Over/Under: 55
  • Time: 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ABC

>> All odds as of 7 a.m. ET. Download The Action Network App to get real-time odds and track your bets.

We still don’t know how Penn State will fare this season after it lost its star running back, offensive coordinator and so many key defensive pieces this offseason. Saturday night could give us a clearer picture.

The Nittany Lions meet rival Pitt in prime time, looking to bounce back from a near-shocker against Appalachian State last week.

These two teams have split the first two meetings in their four-game series set from 2016-2019. The 2016 Pitt win played a major part in keeping Penn State out of the College Football Playoff.

Market Moves

By Danny Donohue

It’s been a roller coaster for this line since it opened. Right off the bat, it took a nose dive from -9 to -7.5, but was since bet right back up to -9. With close to 50-50 betting, it looks to be anyone’s guess where it’ll end up, as sharps have yet to make a clear mark on it.

The total, however, seems to have sharp bettors in agreement. It’s fallen from 58 to 56 behind only 43% of bets on the under, as those bets have accounted for 80% of the money wagered, meaning sharps are expecting this one to stay under the total.

Trends to Know

By John Ewing

Early betting action has moved Pittsburgh from a home underdog of +9 to +8.5. Historically, the Panthers have been profitable as an underdogs of 7 or more points, but there is a clear split:

  • Home 3-7 ATS
  • Road 14-4-1 ATS

By Evan Abrams

James Franklin is 52-37-4 ATS (58.4%), profiting bettors 12.7 units in his career at Vanderbilt and Penn State. Since taking the Vandy job in 2011, Franklin is the eighth-most profitable coach in FBS.

In his career as a head coach with Vandy and Penn State, Franklin is 12-4-1 ATS (+7.6 units) when failing to cover the spread by double digits in his previous game, like he did last week against App State. In those 17 games, Franklin’s teams are covering by 10.2 PPG.



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