Super Bowl & 2021 NFL Predictions Following Schedule Release

Super Bowl & 2021 NFL Predictions Following Schedule Release article feature image
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Getty Images. Pictured: Patrick Mahomes, Tom Brady

The 2021 NFL schedule is out, which means it’s once again time to run our model’s simulations for the season.

Travis Reed, our in-house Data Manager, simulated the season 10,000 times to calculate projections for all 32 teams: Their chances to make the playoffs, win the Super Bowl, and more.

Let’s dive right in.

Note: The following projections are alphabetically ordered by city name and assume that Aaron Rodgers will start the season in Green Bay.

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Arizona Cardinals

  • Projected Win Total: 8.87
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 20.60%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 47.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.70%

Atlanta Falcons

  • Projected Win Total: 8.74
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 20.00%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 44.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.90%

Baltimore Ravens

  • Projected Win Total: 10.13
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 45.40%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 72.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 9.00%

Buffalo Bills

  • Projected Win Total: 10.47
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 57.10%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 80.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 10.40%

Carolina Panthers

  • Projected Win Total: 7.57
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 7.30%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 24.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.20%

Chicago Bears

  • Projected Win Total: 7.68
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 14.10%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 31.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.90%

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Projected Win Total: 8.18
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 13.50%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 34.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.20%

Cleveland Browns

  • Projected Win Total: 8.9
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 20.50%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 49.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 3.30%
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Dallas Cowboys

  • Projected Win Total: 8.84
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 41.40%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 52.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 3.10%

Denver Broncos

  • Projected Win Total: 6.8
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 4.90%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 14.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.20%

Detroit Lions

  • Projected Win Total: 6.95
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 7.50%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 18.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.20%

Green Bay Packers

  • Projected Win Total: 10.11
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 60.30%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 75.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 11.30%

Houston Texans

  • Projected Win Total: 4.31
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 1.10%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 1.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.00%

Indianapolis Colts

  • Projected Win Total: 8.24
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 23.30%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 39.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.10%

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Projected Win Total: 7.38
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 12.40%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 23.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.20%

Kansas City Chiefs

  • Projected Win Total: 10.4
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 53.00%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 77.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 9.00%

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Projected Win Total: 9.4
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 30.00%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 58.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.40%

Los Angeles Rams

  • Projected Win Total: 8.95
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 22.80%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 50.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.90%

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Projected Win Total: 7.93
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 12.10%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 30.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.20%

Miami Dolphins

  • Projected Win Total: 9.36
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 28.70%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 59.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 3.10%

Minnesota Vikings

  • Projected Win Total: 8.05
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 18.10%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 35.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 1.70%

New England Patriots

  • Projected Win Total: 7.35
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 6.70%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 21.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.30%

New Orleans Saints

  • Projected Win Total: 9.1
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 23.90%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 54.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 3.50%

New York Giants

  • Projected Win Total: 7.4
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 15.70%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 25.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.40%
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Getty Images. Pictured: Saquon Barkley

New York Jets

  • Projected Win Total: 7.52
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 7.50%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 23.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.80%

Philadelphia Eagles

  • Projected Win Total: 7.43
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 15.90%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 24.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 0.60%

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Projected Win Total: 8.83
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 20.60%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 47.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.50%

San Francisco 49ers

  • Projected Win Total: 8.88
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 21.80%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 47.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.30%

Seattle Seahawks

  • Projected Win Total: 9.7
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 34.80%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 62.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 5.80%

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Projected Win Total: 10.36
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 48.80%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 75.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 9.80%

Tennessee Titans

  • Projected Win Total: 9.97
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 63.20%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 73.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 6.80%

Washington Redskins

  • Projected Win Total: 8.16
  • Projected Odds to Win Division: 27.00%
  • Projected Odds to Make Playoffs: 37.00%
  • Projected Odds to Win Super Bowl: 2.20%

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