Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets Odds, Betting Pick: Sharp Money Moving Thursday Night Football Line
Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images. Pictured: Sam Darnold #14 of the New York Jets
- Broncos vs. Jets odds first started moving when Denver announced that Brett Rypien would be starting in place of Jeff Driskel.
- Sharp bettors continued piling on, moving Thursday Night Football odds throughout the week.
- Using our NFL PRO Report, PJ Walsh details how the pros are betting Broncos vs. Jets.
Broncos vs. Jets Betting Odds
|Time/Channel||8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network|
Check out our new NFL PRO Report, where we highlight factors that provide betting edges — like large wagers, historically profitable betting systems, model projections and expert picks — that when combined with sharp money can powerfully detail the smartest bets on a given slate.
A matchup of the winless Denver Broncos and the also-winless New York Jets certainly isn’t the most exciting game for fans and recreational bettors on the Week 4 slate, but from a market perspective, it’s fascinating.
On Tuesday, the Broncos announced that second-year quarterback Brett Rypien would get the start in place of Jeff Driskel.
This obviously had an effect on Jets-Broncos odds for Thursday Night Football, but in no way explains the massive line movement we’ve seen throughout the week.
Using our NFL PRO Report, let’s examine what’s behind the drastic Jets vs. Broncos odds movement.
Broncos vs. Jets Betting Pick
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As mentioned above, the market adjusted from Rypien taking over under center earlier this week, but that’s certainly not enough to explain the move from Jets +3 to -1.5 that we’ve seen at a handful of sportsbooks, including BetMGM and FanDuel.
The real reason? Because after a small tweak to account for Denver’s new quarterback situations, sharps have consistently pounded the Jets since Tuesday.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have triggered a whopping nine smart money indicators on New York, including one at 6:34 a.m. ET today at Jets -1, showing that bettors with the respect and resources to move the entire market still found value in that line just a few hours ago.
With sharp action often comes big bucks, and that’s exactly what our NFL public betting data is tracking for Thursday Night Football.
Fifty-nine percent of spread bets are on Denver, yet 67% of the real money wagered is on New York.
How can just 41% of the tickets represent 67% of actual dollars? When those 41% of bets are larger in size than the 58% on the other side — and that’s exactly what’s occurring tonight.
PRO Report Angle: Jets (-1.5)