Denver Broncos vs. New York Jets Odds, Betting Pick: Sharp Money Moving Thursday Night Football Line
Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images. Pictured: Sam Darnold #14 of the New York Jets
- Broncos vs. Jets odds first started moving when Denver announced that Brett Rypien would be starting in place of Jeff Driskel.
- Sharp bettors continued piling on, moving Thursday Night Football odds throughout the week.
- Using our NFL PRO Report, PJ Walsh details how the pros are betting Broncos vs. Jets.
Broncos vs. Jets Betting Odds
|Time/Channel||8:20 p.m. ET, NFL Network|
Check out our new NFL PRO Report, where we highlight factors that provide betting edges — like large wagers, historically profitable betting systems, model projections and expert picks — that when combined with sharp money can powerfully detail the smartest bets on a given slate.
A matchup of the winless Denver Broncos and the also-winless New York Jets certainly isn’t the most exciting game for fans and recreational bettors on the Week 4 slate, but from a market perspective, it’s fascinating.
On Tuesday, the Broncos announced that second-year quarterback Brett Rypien would get the start in place of Jeff Driskel.
This obviously had an effect on Jets-Broncos odds for Thursday Night Football, but in no way explains the massive line movement we’ve seen throughout the week.
Broncos vs. Jets Betting Pick
Data as of 7:30 a.m. ET. For immediate access to our NFL PRO Report for every Week 4 game, start a Free Trial today! You’ll also get:
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As mentioned above, the market adjusted from Rypien taking over under center earlier this week, but that’s certainly not enough to explain the move from Jets +3 to -1.5 that we’ve seen at a handful of sportsbooks, including BetMGM and FanDuel.
The real reason? Because after a small tweak to account for Denver’s new quarterback situations, sharps have consistently pounded the Jets since Tuesday.
Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have triggered a whopping nine smart money indicators on New York, including one at 6:34 a.m. ET today at Jets -1, showing that bettors with the respect and resources to move the entire market still found value in that line just a few hours ago.
With sharp action often comes big bucks, and that’s exactly what our NFL public betting data is tracking for Thursday Night Football.
Fifty-nine percent of spread bets are on Denver, yet 67% of the real money wagered is on New York.
How can just 41% of the tickets represent 67% of actual dollars? When those 41% of bets are larger in size than the 58% on the other side — and that’s exactly what’s occurring tonight.
PRO Report Angle: Jets (-1.5)