NFL Win Total Picks: AFC Best Bets, NFL Predictions from The Action Network Podcast

NFL Win Total Picks: AFC Best Bets, NFL Predictions from The Action Network Podcast article feature image
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Photo Credit: Tina MacIntyre-Yee/Democrat and Chronicle / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Pictured: Patrick Mahomes

The 2025 NFL season will be here before we know it, so it's time to start building out our futures portfolios.

So, that's exactly what Stuckey and Chris Raybon did on the latest episode of The Action Network Podcast.

The duo, in a comprehensive breakdown of the entire AFC, discussed every team, made some bets and highlighted some leans that they're keeping their eyes on for now.

Be sure to check out the podcast, which is much more comprehensive than this article, but a few of their bets are highlighted below.

Dolphins Under 8.5 Wins

Stuckey: I'm selling this team.

I don't think that they're building this team right. I don't think Tua is the guy. I didn't like their Draft. I didn't really like what they brought in [in terms of] new guards and new safeties. …

I think the secondary is gonna be bad. I don't like this team at all and then you look at the schedule, like after the Week 12 bye, you know, some of your road games that you look at the schedule and you'd say, "oh, the Dolphins have a pretty easy schedule," I think 25th in schedule difficulty, but at the Jets, at the Steelers, at the Patriots. Lots of cold weather games after Week 12.

So that's not ideal. The schedule is pretty easy, but I'm selling this team like a juiced under eight and a half. don't think that, I think this could all fall apart and get ugly. There's just too many holes here on both sides of the ball.

And I mean, who knows with Tua. You want to talk about injury risk, you have to talk about the Dolphins. Tua has to be at the top of the list just because of his concussion history. And then what? All of a sudden you're out there with Zach Wilson. So under for me on the Dolphins.

Steelers Over 8.5 Wins

Raybon: You can actually get some plus money for them to win nine games. … They've had a winning season in every Mike Tomlin season. He's 13-5 to the over on the win total, 72%, going over by just under one win per season in his 18 seasons. …

Rodgers, I don't really have much trust in. I don't think he can be much worse than what they had last year or what they had in that year that they started 11-0 with the corpse of Roethlisberger. I think that's kind of what you're going to get out of Rodgers, but Mason Rudolph is back after a one-year hiatus. They're actually 8-4 with one tie in his starts.

So, and then, you also drafted a quarterback. So, you actually might have a better quarterback room with a little more upside than you had last year. … Mike Tomlin wins, has a winning season every year and he's 13-5 to the over."

Jaguars Over 7.5 Wins

Raybon: You know, the Texans are the leader of the division at 9.5, Jacksonville 7.5, Indy 7.5 and Tennessee 5.5. Jacksonville, I think has some interesting upside because you have a decent quarterback. You have a coach that took a team that we already thought would take a step forward in the previous year, the offense, [Dave Canales] leaves and [the offense] essentially goes from 20 points a game to 30 points a game.

The skill positions should be better. Your quarterback [has been in] completely antiquated offenses. I think this is the best coaching staff of Trevor Lawrence's career.

The defense will probably be shaky, but this could be a shootout team in a bad division. … I could see this Jaguar team being in over Houston for the division. If Houston is the Houston of last year and ends up winning, you know, eight or nine, I actually have Houston at about 8.5 wins, so I like Jacksonville +260 for the division. I also like +175 to make the playoffs.

Stuckey: I think there's also a +310 out there for the division.

Kansas City to Win Super Bowl

Raybon: Andy Reid is 10-2 to the over, but just 2-2 over the past four years. So, the market's finally kind of caught up to the Chiefs.

I think at this point, you could make your case to go over the win total based on the track record. You could make your case to go under based on the trends.

I don't really want to touch any of that. I just want the upside and the Chiefs.

Seven Mahomes years, they've lost in the conference championship twice, been to the Super Bowl the other five times. Just give me the 8-1. There you go.

About the Author
Action Network is a team of seasoned sports betting experts specializing in a broad range of sports, from the NFL and NBA to less mainstream options like cricket and darts. Their staff includes well-known analysts like Sean Koerner and Stuckey, recognized for their accurate predictions and deep sports knowledge. The team is dedicated to delivering expert analysis and daily best bets, ensuring bettors are well-informed across all major sports.

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