Bills-Packers Betting Preview: Can You Trust Buffalo to Cover at Lambeau?

Sep 30, 2018 07:52 AM EDT
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USA Today Sports. Pictured: Josh Allen, Aaron Rodgers

Betting odds: Buffalo Bills at Green Bay Packers

  • Spread: Packers -9
  • Over/Under: 45
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: Josh Allen and the Bills have convinced at least half the betting population that they deserve some more respect.

The bets are split evenly between the two teams, but Buffalo is getting 69% of the money as of writing (see live data here), and the line has moved in its favor.

Last week, the Bills got only 32% of bets at +16.5, which just goes to show you how much people’s minds can be changed in a week. Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The Bills became the 16th team since 1993 to win straight-up as a two-touchdown underdog with their Week 3 upset of the Vikings.

How have the previous 15 teams performed the week after their upset wins? To call it a hangover wouldn’t even do it justice.

Not counting the Patriots’ upset of the Rams in Super Bowl XXXVI, the other 14 teams went 2-12 straight-up and 1-11-2 against the spread in their next game, including 0-11 SU and 0-10-1 ATS as underdogs.

Of the previous 14 teams, none was an underdog of more than a touchdown the following week. (The Bills are.) Evan Abrams

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