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Broncos Head Coaching Odds: Chuck Pagano Among Favorites

Jan 04, 2019 12:41 PM EST

Rich Barnes-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Chuck Pagano.

  • The Denver Broncos parted ways with Vance Joseph after the season, ending what was one of the worst tenures for a coach against the spread in history.
  • The Broncos have started interviewing candidates to fill the job, and Bears defensive coordinator Vic Fangio is favored at +700.
  • Right behind him are Chuck Pagano and Zac Taylor at +800, both of whom have already interviewed.

The Denver Broncos and Vance Joseph looked like they had turned a page halfway through this season. Between October 14th and December 2nd, they went 4-3 straight up and 6-1 against the spread. Then, they lost and failed to cover in each of their final four games.

See ya later, Vance.

Joseph went just 10-20-2 against the spread — the worst record in our Bet Labs database for a coach with more than one season’s worth of games.

The Broncos will want to flip the script this go around, but unlike most of the other teams with coaching vacancies, they lack a budding quarterback with potential. Perhaps they could, however, find someone that could get Case Keenum playing like he did in Minnesota.

First on the list is Vic Fangio — defensive coordinator for the Chicago Bears. He’s certainly done a fine job with Chicago’s defense, but is a DC the route Denver should go here? Its offense ranked 24th in scoring and 19th in yards this season, but what do I know? I’m just the kid that writes the odds, not the guy who hires the coaches.

A more familiar name is right behind Fangio. Chuck Pagano, who spent the past year unemployed, coached the Colts for six seasons before getting fired after a 4-12 2017 campaign. Granted, that final straw was with Jacoby Brissett at QB.

A Colorado native, Pagano has already interviewed for the job and supposedly left a good impression.

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Another fella who has already been interviewed is Zac Taylor, who is also listed at +800. To quote the Denver Broncos website:

“He has attracted attention for his work with Rams quarterback Jared Goff, an extensive background in offense dating back to his days as a quarterback at the University of Nebraska and his immersion in the explosive, dynamic offense developed by the Rams under head coach Sean McVay the last two seasons.”

That sounds like more of a fit than Fangio in my mind, but I’ll say it again — I’m just the odds kid.

As was the case with the Jets, the “field” has fairly good odds and is listed much higher than any individual. These odds suggest there’s a 28.6% chance someone not listed gets the job.

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