NFL Week 3 Player Props: Kirk Cousins Over/Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns?

Sep 23, 2018 11:20 AM EDT
  • Using FantasyLabs' Player Props Tool, we analyze five of the best player prop bets for NFL Week 3.
  • Kirk Cousins' over/under for touchdown passes against the Bills is 1.5. Our tool believes this is arguably the best prop bet of the week.

Player props can offer some of the best betting value on the board in any given week. They typically feature smaller limits and take less action than traditional game bets, so it’s not as imperative for the sportsbooks to hang accurate lines.

This is where the FantasyLabs’ Player Props tool comes in handy.

We take each prop bet listed across five of the most popular sportsbooks and leverage them against our player projections from Sean Koerner, the No. 1 in-season fantasy football ranker in each of the past three seasons.

Each prop bet then receives a grade, with 10 being the absolute best.

Our Props tool has been killing it to start the season, with props graded a 10 covering at a 60.9% clip (39-25) against the closing number.


>> Check out the FantasyLabs prop tool to see the 20 bets rated a 10 out of 10 or better for Sunday’s NFL slate. All lines are as of 9:30 a.m. ET on Sunday.


Vikings QB Kirk Cousins

The pick: Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-165 @ Sportsbook.com)

A blowout is certainly a concern as the Bills opened as historically large September underdogs, but over 1.5 passing touchdowns seems likely for Cousins.

We currently project the Vikings offense for 68.6 plays, the third-most on the main slate, so there should be plenty of opportunities for Cousins to get his before Minnesota turns to a likely run-heavy game script.

Buffalo is tied for the most rushing touchdowns allowed (four) in the NFL through two weeks, but they’ve still been giving it up through the air, with the second-most passing touchdowns allowed over that same span (six).

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Credit:

Brace Hemmelgarn-USA TODAY Sports Pictured: Minnesota Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins

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SCHEDULE
OPEN
CURR
# BETS
GB
SEA
49.5
-2.5
48.5
-3
HOU
WAS
43
+3
42.5
+3
CIN
BAL
--
--
--
--
PIT
JAC
47.5
+6
47
+6
CAR
DET
50.5
+3
51
+4
DAL
ATL
47.5
-4.5
48.5
-3
TEN
IND
48
-3
48.5
-2
TB
NYG
52
PK
52
-1
OAK
ARI
41
-4
40.5
-5.5
DEN
LAC
47
-7.5
46.5
-7
PHI
NO
54.5
-9
56
-9
MIN
CHI
45.5
-2.5
45
-2.5
KC
LA
63.5
-1
63.5
-3.5