NFL Odds: 49ers vs. Seahawks
49ers Odds | +1 |
Seahawks Odds | -1 |
Over/Under | 54.5 |
PRO Projections | Seahawks -2.5 | O/U: 54.7 |
Time/Channel | 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX |
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Not all line movement is created equal, especially in NFL betting.
For instance, if a spread moves from +9.5 to +7.5 that's a "two-point move," yet because of NFL scoring, that range of odds isn't as important as others.
Take today's 49ers vs. Seahawks game as a prime example. As recently as 9:45 a.m. ET, this spread sat at San Fran +3. Now, it's at +1.
Why was this spread adjusted, and what makes this two-point move so important?
Let's take a look.
NFL Picks: 49ers vs. Seahawks
Since 2003, 14.8% of NFL games have finished with a margin of victory of three points, by far the most of any number.
Conversely, just 4.95% of games have finished with margins of eight or nine points combined.
So, when you hear someone talk about NFL line movement, it's crucial to know the numbers the line actually moves through.
Sports Insights' Bet Signals are reporting that a steam move hit San Francisco earlier this morning, showing a sudden influx of money from respected bettors jumped on the Niners, driving this spread to its current number.