Nobody’s Team: After MNF Embarrassment, America Is Fading the Cowboys
Ronald Martinez/Getty Images. Pictured: Andy Dalton
The Cowboys aren’t America’s Team, at least so far this week at the Circa Sportsbook in Las Vegas.
The sportsbook opened Dallas as three-point favorites against the Washington Football Team. Circa closed it during their Monday Night Football game, as normal. Then Dallas got embarrassed by the Cardinals at home, 38-10.
“I think people thought that Andy Dalton would be a good enough replacement for Dak Prescott,” said Circa’s Jeff Davis. “It was dink and dunk and he couldn’t really move the ball down the field. When the game opened up again, there was absolutely no interest in the Cowboys.”
By Thursday, the Cowboys were as low as 1-point dogs.
The ultimate public play for the week seems to be the Green Bay Packers as 3.5-point favorites over the Houston Texans. Despite getting beaten down last week, losing to the Bucs by 28, the public clearly sees this as an easy win.
Our Action Network PRO Report shows that while 60% of the bets are on the Packers, an astounding 97% of the money is.
“We have a ton of Packers money here,” said Eric Osterman at the Westgate SuperBook. “We have over 30 bets on the Packers and one on the Texans.”
There’s been a massive correction in totals. For the first three weeks of the NFL season, the over hit 60% of the time. Over the next three weeks, it hit at only 39%. And now bettors are swinging back toward unders.
Osterman said that, as of Thursday, there are four games that the sportsbook actually needs the over, which is fairly uncommon: 49ers-Patriots, Titans-Steelers, Jaguars-Chargers and Chiefs-Broncos.
It’s the first over sportsbooks have rooted for involving the Chiefs in a while, but snow in the forecast has brought the total down at least three points.
The New York Jets are quickly becoming this year’s version of the Miami Dolphins — the team that’s such a huge dog, they’re daring you to bet them. The Jets are 0-6 straight-up and 0-6 against the spread. They opened up at 10-point dogs against the Buffalo Bills and they were pushed as high as +14 before settling down at a national average of +12 by Thursday night.
Doesn’t that seem like a lot? Remember this is the Buffalo Bills, who don’t exactly scream offense. The Bills have averaged scoring 26 points a game (17th in the league), but the Jets are dead last (12.5 points per game).
“I think bettors think Darnold is coming back, which is keeping the line from going up too high,” said Circa’s Jeff Davis.
The more public FanDuel sportsbook had 90% of the money on the Bills, even at -13.5.
Osterman said the Superbook has been “absolutely buried” with Bills moneyline parlays and teasers that get the Bills to under a touchdown favorite.
Buffalo hasn’t been this big of a road favorite since 1992.