Titans-Chargers Betting Preview: Does Tennessee Have Value in Bounce-Back Spot?

Oct 21, 2018 08:28 AM EDT

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Tennessee Titans quarterback Marcus Mariota (8).

Betting odds: Tennessee Titans vs. Los Angeles Chargers (in London)

  • Spread: Chargers -6.5
  • Over/Under: 45.5
  • Time: 9:30 a.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: The Chargers are getting 78% of bets, but have essentially remained at -6.5 across the market throughout the majority of the week (find updated odds here).

The Titans have been hit-or-miss this season, but are apparently good enough that books don’t want to give them a touchdown at a neutral location. — Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Since 2003, teams coming off a win of 20 points or more (Chargers won by 24 in Week 6) have gone 353-386-25 (47.8%) against the spread in their next game, according to Bet Labs data.

Over that same span, teams that lost their previous game by 20 or more points (Titans lost by 21 in Week 6) have gone 408-340-17 (55%) ATS in their next game.

One would think that if two such teams were to play each other the team coming off the blowout loss would offer value.

Indeed, from 2003-11, teams that lost their previous game by 20 or more points playing an opponent that won their past game by 20 or more points went 31-20 (60.8%) ATS. But in the past six years these teams are just 13-17-2 (43.3%) ATS. John Ewing

model helps you find edges when betting moneylines and over/unders for the full game
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