Stuckey, Locky, Wilson: College Football Moneyline Underdogs to Bet in Week 8
Rob Kinnan-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: North Carolina defensive back K.J. Sails
- Don't forget about the betting underdogs on the moneyline when finalizing your Week 8 college football bets.
- Three of our college football experts give their best moneyline underdog bets for Week 8.
Each week, we will each give out our favorite moneyline underdog on the college football card. Week 8 is no different. You can play them straight, throw them in a longshot parlay or just read for additional insight.
We picked up profit for the second straight week last Saturday, but again came up one point short of hitting all three with Memphis’ 31-30 loss to UCF. Let’s keep it rolling this Saturday.
If you feel like really rolling the dice, a moneyline parlay of all three pays 70-1.
YTD: 8-13 +4.80 units
Stuckey: Miami Ohio +260
- Spread: Army -8
- Over/Under: 47.5
- Time: Noon ET
- TV channel: CBSSN
Miami Ohio owes me for a couple no-shows early in the season.
But in all seriousness, quarterback Gus Ragland & Co. have gotten going on offense lately after a really slow start to the season. The RedHawks have scored at least 30 points in four consecutive games — something the program hasn’t done since some guy named Ben Roethlisberger was under center in 2003. They should continue that trend against a subpar Black Knights defense.
The veteran RedHawks defense also does a solid job against the run, which is a necessity against Army. Throw in a big edge on special teams and I think Miami Ohio has a real shot at getting a W at West Point this weekend in a game in which I’d only make Army a field-goal favorite.
I know Army has won nine straight at home and Miami played an up-tempo spread offense last week, but I can’t pass up this inflated number. Value town.
Ken Barkley: North Carolina +325
- Spread: Syracuse -10.5
- Over/Under: 68
- Time: 12:20 p.m. ET
- TV: ACC Network
I don’t believe there is nearly as big a difference between these teams as the market implies.
Not only did the Tar Heels have a number of players suspended for their first few games (who are now back), but you could make an argument that Syracuse will be the second-easiest opponent (behind East Carolina) UNC will face this season.
The Orange also have one of the worst defenses UNC will have faced thus far. That’s good news for an offense that continues to sputter each week against superior competition.
The Tar Heels should come in confident after a near upset of Virginia Tech. What gets lost in that outcome (a 22-19 Virginia Tech win) is the fact that UNC played much better than the Hokies for a large part of the game. The Heels were ultimately done in by turnovers and red-zone inefficiency, but they looked great in between the 20s. I think they can carry that momentum to upstate New York and easily put up points.
For Syracuse, you’re really just hanging your hat on the close Clemson game as proof that the Orange are this much better than a conference opponent. The rest of their results don’t tell you much. It’s certainly possible that Syracuse is 6.5-7 points better on a neutral field, which this line implies.
However, considering Syracuse’s talent and production — I would consider that unlikely and am willing to pay to be proven wrong.
I’ll take UNC at a price that’s simply way too big.
Collin Wilson: Purdue +375
- Spread: Ohio State -12
- Over/Under: 68.5
- Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ABC
After a very unlucky 0-3 start to the season, Purdue comes in having won three straight by a total of 70 points — and I think has an outside shot of shocking the country this weekend.
It starts with Rondale Moore. Remember the name, and if you don’t, the announcers should remind you on Saturday night in West Lafayette, Ind. The freshman wide receiver, who was just named to the AP midseason All-America second team, is one of the most explosive players in the nation.
Purdue, which ranks eighth in rush explosiveness, has a chance to match every Ohio State score against a very vulnerable Buckeye defense that ranks 97th in defending both passing and rushing explosiveness.
Believe it or not, the Buckeyes rank 129th in the nation (second worst) in defending passing explosiveness on passing downs. If Moore gets the ball in the open field, look out!
On the other side of the ball, Purdue can get some pressure on opposing quarterbacks, which we know can rattle the Buckeyes’ Dwayne Haskins (see: Penn State tape).
I’m still not sure Purdue will stop Ohio State enough times, but there is simply way too much value to pass up in what should be a shootout.