Florida at Missouri Odds & Betting Pick: Now or Never For Tigers

Florida at Missouri Odds

• Spread: Florida -7
• Over/Under: 51
• Time: 12 p.m. ET
• TV: CBS

Odds as of Friday night and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can access an exclusive promotion to get a 200% deposit match (deposit $50, bet with $150).No strings attached. No rollover required.

It's been a strange season for Missouri.

The Tigers looked like a legitimate top 20 team in the preseason, but they've been horrific away from home, including losses to Vanderbilt and Wyoming in which they were greater than two-touchdown favorites.

It's been business as usual for Florida. Despite losing quarterback Feleipe Franks, the Gators haven't really missed a beat, going 8-2 so far with losses only at LSU and to Georgia on a neutral site.

Is this the week Missouri gets things right on its home field, or will Florida keep rolling against the bottom half of the SEC?

Model Prediction for Florida-Missouri

We use Collin Wilson's power ratings to project the point spread between any two teams. His full Week 12 projected point spreads are here, and get his Week 12 over/under projections here.

• Spread: Florida -5.3
• Total: 52.9

Wilson: Now or Never for Missouri

We could get an all-out effort scenario from Missouri here. This will be the first home game for the Tigers since Oct. 12, where they haven't lost since Kentucky's one-point victory 13 months ago.

The return of quarterback Kelly Bryant is also key after he missed the Georgia game with a hamstring injury. The Tigers lost 27-0 and averaged just 3.41 yards per play.

With an underwhelming record of 5-4 and little hope for the NCAA to reverse a postseason ban, this may be head coach Barry Odom's last chance to prove 2019 was not a waste.

The Tigers also have games remaining against Tennessee and Arkansas, but neither will grab the attention of a fan base or athletic director like beating Florida.

Our Action Network projection makes this game Florida -5.5, but plenty of defensive statistics point to Missouri keeping this close. The Gators have been one dimensional on offense, with almost no ground game to speak of.

Dan Mullen is sure to have his roster fired up after two straight losses to Missouri, but a kickoff forecast calls for 31 degree temperatures.

In yet another Jefferson Pilot time slot, the defenses should keep this close. Expect a motivated and healthy Missouri squad to challenge a Florida team just looking to get into its bye week.

Pick: Missouri +7 [In New Jersey? Bet now at PointsBet]