Patriots-Bears Betting Preview: Is New England a Good Bet as Small Favorite?

Oct 21, 2018 08:24 AM EDT

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Tom Brady, Khalil Mack

Betting odds: New England Patriots at Chicago Bears

  • Spread: Patriots -3
  • Over/Under: 49.5
  • Time: 1 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: CBS

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets

Betting market: Following the Patriots’ big win over the Chiefs, the public is back on the New England bandwagon as 74% of bets have come in on New England at the time of writing (see live betting data here).

Doesn’t help that the Bears lost to Brock Osweiler last weekend, either.

The Pats are having trouble getting off the key number of -3 and staying there, though, because sharps have taken the Bears plus the hook every time they’ve been given the chance so far.

There have been five separate reverse line moves on Chicago +3.5 so far and I imagine we’ll see more if the opportunity presents itself. —Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Chicago was a popular play in Week 6 but let down bettors, losing to Miami as a 7.5-point favorite.

As Mark mentioned above, gamblers are fading the Bears in Week 7, but this could be a bad spot. Since 2003, home underdogs getting fewer than 25% of spread tickets have gone 208-174-11 (55%) against the spread. — John Ewing

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