Jan 21, 2018; Foxborough, MA, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blake Bortles (5) against the New England Patriots in the AFC Championship Game at Gillette Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports
- The Rams continue to climb toward even odds as their win in Denver pushed them from +175 to +160 to win Super Bowl 53.
- A big shakeup in the AFC North took place following Pittsburgh's win over Cincinnati and Baltimore's dominant defensive effort in Tennessee.
- After their ugly loss to Dallas, the Jaguars are now one of three AFC South teams with a 3-3 record.
Last week, I said that the Chiefs-Patriots winner would be the new Super Bowl favorite in the AFC. I lied.
I figured the Chiefs wouldn’t fall too much if they lost considering they were in New England, but Kansas City didn’t fall at all. You know what they say: good teams win, great teams cover.
Meanwhile, the Patriots’ odds didn’t improve at all, and as it currently stands, they’re both still +600.
There wasn’t a ton of movement at the top of the list, but the next tier had some key wins and losses that shook things up a bit. Here are the updated numbers following Week 6’s Sunday slate.
All odds via the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook as of Monday at 3 p.m. ET.
A quick explanation on the odds: A $100 bet on +450 odds would return $450, a $100 bet on +1200 odds would return $1,200, etc.
Los Angeles Rams: +175 to +160 (+2.1% Implied probability)
I have a feeling we will be seeing the Rams a lot down the stretch. Since their odds are already so good, any tiny move changes their implied probability a good chunk.
I imagine they won’t be able to improve upon them that much this next week considering they’re playing the 49ers, but LA still has games against the Packers, Saints and Chiefs. If they make it through that stretch undefeated … well, they may enter odds-on favorite territory.
Pittsburgh Steelers: +3000 to +2000 (+1.6% IP)
A big divisional win over the Bengals helped save the season for the Steelers, who would’ve been in trouble if they had fallen to 2-3-1. They’re still third in their division, but are just “a tie back” of Cincy and Baltimore now.
Los Angeles Chargers and Baltimore Ravens: +2500 to +1800 (+1.5% IP)
The Chargers weren’t scared of the mighty Browns and ended Cleveland’s one-game winning streak with a dominant effort on both sides of the ball.
Philip Rivers and Co. have rattled off three straight wins now and technically could still win the AFC West despite how good the Chiefs have been so far.
The Ravens’ defense is legit. Their shutout of the Titans included 11 sacks. Sacks are generally a statistic for which the number has to be written out with letters to be stylistically correct.
With the Ravens allowing just 12.8 points allowed per game, their stinginess has put them among the top contenders in the league.
Jacksonville Jaguars: +1600 to +2500 (-2.1% IP)
The Jags could easily be a game or two up in their division, but have struggled following a 2-0 start that included a convincing win over the Patriots.
However, Lord knows what the Titans and Texans are capable of, so this division is still easily there for the taking.
Cincinnati Bengals: +2000 to +3000 (-1.6% IP)
The Bengals lost their stanglehold on the division lead as Sunday was a worst-case scenario for them. This week, a scheduling change will have them thrown into the spotlight on Sunday Night Football in Kansas City.
Another loss coupled with a Baltimore win (Pittburgh is on a bye) could drop Cincy down to +5000 or so.
Carolina Panthers: +3000 to +5000 (-1.2% IP)
The Panthers’ road loss to Washington wasn’t all that bad, but they had a great opportunity to move to 4-1 to join the Saints.
Instead, they’re 3-2 and have games at Philly, at home against Baltimore and at Pittsburgh over the next four weeks, making a 4-5 record after Week 10 a very possible outcome.